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Spansko vs Dugo Selo

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dugo Selo in this 3. HNL Center 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dugo Selo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Spansko
20%
Draws
51%
Dugo Selo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dugo Selo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Spansko average 1.27 goals a game right now, well clear of Dugo Selo's 0.71.
  • Win probability leans Spansko's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Spansko Clean Sheet 20%
Dugo Selo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spansko Dugo Selo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.27 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2021 3. HNL Center
Spansko vs Dugo Selo
0:1
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL Center
Dugo Selo vs Spansko
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spansko 42 / 100
Dugo Selo 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spansko Dugo Selo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spansko scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Dugo Selo has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Spansko has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dugo Selo
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spansko

(Home)
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
12 Jun
Trnje
0 : 2
Spansko
05 Jun
Spansko
2 : 2
Karlovac
29 May
Kurilovec
3 : 0
Spansko
26 May
Spansko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
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Dugo Selo

(Away)
12 Sept
Dugo Selo
1 : 2
Varteks Varazdin (2011)
04 Sept
Uljanik Pula
3 : 0
Dugo Selo
29 Aug
Dugo Selo
1 : 0
Uskok Klis
22 Aug
Solin
1 : 1
Dugo Selo
30 May
Trnje
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
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