Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spansko vs Zagorec Krapina

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zagorec Krapina in this 3. HNL Center 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zagorec Krapina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Spansko
15%
Draws
51%
Zagorec Krapina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorec Krapina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Zagorec Krapina have won more games recently than Spansko.
  • Spansko are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Spansko Clean Sheet 15%
Zagorec Krapina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spansko Zagorec Krapina
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Spansko vs Zagorec Krapina
1:5
Sep 26, 2020 3. HNL Center
Zagorec Krapina vs Spansko
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spansko 66 / 100
Zagorec Krapina 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spansko Zagorec Krapina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spansko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zagorec Krapina conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Spansko's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zagorec Krapina lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spansko VS Zagorec Krapina
0 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Spansko

(Home)
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
12 Jun
Trnje
0 : 2
Spansko
05 Jun
Spansko
2 : 2
Karlovac
29 May
Kurilovec
3 : 0
Spansko
26 May
Spansko
0 : 1
Dugo Selo
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Zagorec Krapina

(Away)
08 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 5
Istra 1961
26 Aug
Granicar Kotoriba
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
14 Aug
Mladost Zdralovi
1 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
31 Jul
Segesta
4 : 2
Zagorec Krapina
27 Sept
Zagorec Krapina
0 : 2
HNK Gorica
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