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Sparta Brno vs Nove Mesto na Morave - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

MOL Cup Marianske namesti, Brno
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Krejci F.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sparta Brno
15%
Draws
21%
Nove Mesto na Morave
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Brno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Sparta Brno at 1.89 per game, Nove Mesto na Morave at 1.52.
  • Sparta Brno are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Sparta Brno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sparta Brno Clean Sheet 11%
Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Brno Nove Mesto na Morave
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 12 12
Draws 3 8
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.89 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 MOL Cup
Sparta Brno vs Nove Mesto na Morave
1:0
Apr 1, 2012 4. liga - Group D
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Sparta Brno
2:0
Aug 20, 2011 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Nove Mesto na Morave
0:1
Apr 17, 2011 4. liga - Group D
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Sparta Brno
0:0
Sep 11, 2010 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Nove Mesto na Morave
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Brno Compare

Top Goalscorer Krejci F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Nove Mesto na Morave Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Brno 83 / 100
Nove Mesto na Morave 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Brno Nove Mesto na Morave

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Brno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Brno found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Nove Mesto na Morave's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Sparta Brno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Nove Mesto na Morave's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Brno VS Nove Mesto na Morave
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Brno

(Home)
03 Oct
Sparta Brno
3 : 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou
25 Sept
Bohunice
1 : 2
Sparta Brno
19 Sept
Sparta Brno
3 : 2
Tasovice
12 Sept
Slovan Havlickuv Brod
3 : 1
Sparta Brno
05 Sept
Sparta Brno
1 : 0
Humpolec
Page 1 of 6

Nove Mesto na Morave

(Away)
10 Oct
Nove Mesto na Morave
0 : 4
Unicov
03 Oct
FK Frydek-Mistek
4 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
26 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
3 : 2
Hlubina
19 Sept
Vsetin
2 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
12 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
0 : 3
Brno B
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hvezda Cheb 0
Sokolov 3
TBD -
FK Ceska Lipa -
Vysoke Myto 8
Letohrad 1
TBD -
Vlasim -
Usti nad Orlici 2
Svitavy 1
Prepere 3
Velke Hamry 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liberec -
Rychnov nad Kneznou 0
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 2
TBD -
Admira Prague -
Vestec 2
Benesov 4
TBD -
Taborsko -
Nyrsko 0
Krimice 6
TBD -
Ceske Budejovice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Teplice -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 3
Spartak Sobeslav 2
TBD -
Aritma Prague -
Dvur Kralove 1
Police nad Metuji 2
TBD -
Zizkov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Petrin Plzen 2
FK Komarov 3
TBD -
Domazlice -
Vysehrad 0
Hostoun 2
TBD -
SK Kladno -
Sparta Brno 1
Nove Mesto na Morave 0
Lanzhot 1
Bystrc 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ostrava -
Zabreh 3
SK Hranice 2
Rajecko 4
Zdar nad Sazavou 1
Belotin 4
Novy Jicin 0
Vratimov FC 1
Havirov 2
Horni Becva 0
Valasske Mezirici 1
TBD -
Unicov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zlin -
Vejprnice 2
Doubravka 3
Psary 2
Motorlet Prague 3
Stara Rise 0
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 4
TBD -
Jihlava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Bridlicna 1
Hlucin 0
Vsechovice 2
Hlubina 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou 1
FC Kurim 2
TBD -
Prostejov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
FC Pencin 0
Turnov 3
TBD -
Banik Most-Sous -
SK Strakonice 1908 2
Milevsko 1
TBD -
Pribram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Breclav 0
TBD -
Hodonin -
MFK Kravare 1
Bohumin 6
TBD -
Trinec -
Branik 1
Meteor Prague 4
Slany 0
Brozany 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Strani 1
Vsetin 2
Chotebor 2
Velke Mezirici 0
SK Krumvir 2
Znojmo 1
TBD -
Kromeriz -
Hermanuv Mestec 3
Hlinsko 0
TBD -
Zapy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
Velvary 0
Brandys nad Labem 1
Steti 0
Varnsdorf 6
Karlovy Vary 2
Chomutov 1
TBD -
Usti nad Labem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Slavia Ceske Budejovice 1
Cesky Krumlov 5
TBD -
Kraluv Dvur -
Rokycany 1
SK Horovice 0
Tempo Prague 2
Loko Praha 3
TJ Bystrice 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
TBD -
Opava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brno -
Bilovec 0
Vitkovice 1
Nove Sady 2
Sumperk 1
Stonava 1
Polanka nad Odrou 2
Sternberk 2
Rymarov 1
FS Trebic 0
Tasovice 1
Bohunice 1
Uhersky Brod 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Kolin 0
Horni Redice 3
TBD -
Chrudim -
Vykan 4
Caslav 3
TBD -
Dukla Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Slavia HK 1
Trutnov 2
TBD -
Benatky n. Jiz. -
Klasterec nad Ohri 4
Ostrov 3
Kosmonosy 1
Neratovice 4
Bedrichov 1
Humpolec 3
Velka Bites 2
FK Blansko 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slovacko -
FK Kozlovice 1
FK Frydek-Mistek 0
Holesov 1
Slavicin 3
Hluk 2
Brumov 3
TBD -
MFK Karvina -
Spartak Pribram 3
Povltavska FA 2
TBD -
Pisek -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
1/64-finals
Sokolov 3
FK Ceska Lipa 1
Vysoke Myto 2
Vlasim 4
Usti nad Orlici 3
Prepere 4
TBD -
Liberec -
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 0
Admira Prague 4
Benesov 0
Taborsko 1
Krimice 2
Ceske Budejovice 0
TBD -
Teplice -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 1
Aritma Prague 0
Police nad Metuji 2
Zizkov 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
FK Komarov 3
Domazlice 6
Hostoun 0
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 2
Lanzhot 0
TBD -
Ostrava -
Zabreh 5
Rajecko 2
Belotin 1
Havirov 3
Valasske Mezirici 1
Unicov 2
TBD -
Zlin -
Doubravka 2
Motorlet Prague 5
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 1
Jihlava 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Bridlicna 2
Vsechovice 3
FC Kurim 0
Prostejov 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Turnov 0
Banik Most-Sous 2
SK Strakonice 1908 0
Pribram 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Bzenec-Vracov 2
Hodonin 0
Bohumin 1
Trinec 2
Meteor Prague 4
Brozany 1
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Vsetin 6
Chotebor 1
SK Krumvir 0
Kromeriz 3
Hermanuv Mestec 0
Zapy 3
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
Brandys nad Labem 1
Varnsdorf 2
Karlovy Vary 0
Usti nad Labem 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Cesky Krumlov 3
Kraluv Dvur 4
Rokycany 0
Loko Praha 2
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
Opava 1
TBD -
Brno -
Vitkovice 6
Nove Sady 0
Polanka nad Odrou 5
Sternberk 1
Tasovice 2
Uhersky Brod 3
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Horni Redice 3
Chrudim 0
Vykan 0
Dukla Prague 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Trutnov 2
Benatky n. Jiz. 5
Klasterec nad Ohri 1
Neratovice 10
Humpolec 0
Velka Bites 2
TBD -
Slovacko -
FK Kozlovice 4
Slavicin 3
Brumov 0
MFK Karvina 4
Spartak Pribram 2
Pisek 3
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
1/32-finals
Sokolov 0
Vlasim 3
Prepere 0
Liberec 2
Admira Prague 0
Taborsko 4
Krimice 1
Teplice 2
Hluboka nad Vltavou 0
Zizkov 2
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Domazlice 3
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 0
Ostrava 9
Zabreh 0
Havirov 4
Unicov 0
Zlin 2
Motorlet Prague 0
Jihlava 3
TBD -
Plzen -
Vsechovice 0
Prostejov 3
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Banik Most-Sous 1
Pribram 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Trinec 4
Meteor Prague 0
Mlada Boleslav 4
Vsetin 2
Kromeriz 1
Zapy 2
Bohemians 1905 3
Varnsdorf 1
Usti nad Labem 0
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Kraluv Dvur 4
Loko Praha 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 0
Brno 10
Vitkovice 2
Polanka nad Odrou 1
Uhersky Brod 0
Artis Brno 2
Horni Redice 0
Dukla Prague 5
TBD -
Jablonec -
Benatky n. Jiz. 1
Neratovice 2
Velka Bites 1
Slovacko 2
FK Kozlovice 2
MFK Karvina 1
Pisek 0
FK Pardubice 2
1/16-finals
Vlasim 0
Liberec 2
Taborsko 0
Teplice 5
Zizkov 0
Sparta Prague 5
SK Kladno 1
Ostrava 2
Havirov 0
Zlin 4
Jihlava -
Plzen -
Prostejov 3
Sigma Olomouc 2
Pribram 1
Hradec Kralove 2
Trinec 0
Mlada Boleslav 3
Vsetin 0
Bohemians 1905 5
Varnsdorf 1
Slavia Prague 5
Kraluv Dvur 0
Brno 3
Vitkovice 0
Artis Brno 3
Dukla Prague 0
Jablonec 1
Neratovice 0
Slovacko 4
FK Kozlovice 0
FK Pardubice 6
1/8-finals
Liberec -
Teplice -
Sparta Prague -
Ostrava -
Zlin -
TBD -
Prostejov -
Hradec Kralove -
Mlada Boleslav -
Bohemians 1905 -
Slavia Prague -
Brno -
Artis Brno -
Jablonec -
Slovacko -
FK Pardubice -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -