Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Brno vs Ostrava - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

MOL Cup Marianske namesti, Brno
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Skrkon V.
16' Event
Jurecka V.
(Penalty)
24' Event
Skrkon V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-9. The second leg ended 0-9.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Sparta Brno
30%
Draws
19%
Ostrava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sparta Brno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sparta Brno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sparta Brno are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Sparta Brno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ostrava, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sparta Brno Clean Sheet 19%
Ostrava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Brno Ostrava
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.25 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 MOL Cup
Sparta Brno vs Ostrava
0:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Brno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Ostrava Compare

Top Goalscorer Skrkon V.
7 Goals
Assists Leader Sancl F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Brno 85 / 100
Ostrava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Brno Ostrava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Brno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Brno scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Sparta Brno went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ostrava conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Brno VS Ostrava
3 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Brno

(Home)
31 Oct
Sparta Brno
2 : 2
FC Kurim
24 Oct
Bedrichov
2 : 5
Sparta Brno
17 Oct
Sparta Brno
5 : 1
Velke Mezirici
11 Oct
Pelhrimov
0 : 3
Sparta Brno
03 Oct
Sparta Brno
3 : 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou
Page 1 of 6

Ostrava

(Away)
01 Nov
Ostrava
0 : 4
Plzen
28 Oct
Sparta Prague
0 : 2
Ostrava
18 Oct
Ostrava
0 : 0
Sparta Prague
10 Oct
Bohemians 1905
1 : 0
Ostrava
03 Oct
GKS Katowice
1 : 1
Ostrava
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hvezda Cheb 0
Sokolov 3
TBD -
FK Ceska Lipa -
Vysoke Myto 8
Letohrad 1
TBD -
Vlasim -
Usti nad Orlici 2
Svitavy 1
Prepere 3
Velke Hamry 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liberec -
Rychnov nad Kneznou 0
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 2
TBD -
Admira Prague -
Vestec 2
Benesov 4
TBD -
Taborsko -
Nyrsko 0
Krimice 6
TBD -
Ceske Budejovice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Teplice -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 3
Spartak Sobeslav 2
TBD -
Aritma Prague -
Dvur Kralove 1
Police nad Metuji 2
TBD -
Zizkov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Petrin Plzen 2
FK Komarov 3
TBD -
Domazlice -
Vysehrad 0
Hostoun 2
TBD -
SK Kladno -
Sparta Brno 1
Nove Mesto na Morave 0
Lanzhot 1
Bystrc 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ostrava -
Zabreh 3
SK Hranice 2
Rajecko 4
Zdar nad Sazavou 1
Belotin 4
Novy Jicin 0
Vratimov FC 1
Havirov 2
Horni Becva 0
Valasske Mezirici 1
TBD -
Unicov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zlin -
Vejprnice 2
Doubravka 3
Psary 2
Motorlet Prague 3
Stara Rise 0
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 4
TBD -
Jihlava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Bridlicna 1
Hlucin 0
Vsechovice 2
Hlubina 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou 1
FC Kurim 2
TBD -
Prostejov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
FC Pencin 0
Turnov 3
TBD -
Banik Most-Sous -
SK Strakonice 1908 2
Milevsko 1
TBD -
Pribram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Breclav 0
TBD -
Hodonin -
MFK Kravare 1
Bohumin 6
TBD -
Trinec -
Branik 1
Meteor Prague 4
Slany 0
Brozany 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Strani 1
Vsetin 2
Chotebor 2
Velke Mezirici 0
SK Krumvir 2
Znojmo 1
TBD -
Kromeriz -
Hermanuv Mestec 3
Hlinsko 0
TBD -
Zapy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
Velvary 0
Brandys nad Labem 1
Steti 0
Varnsdorf 6
Karlovy Vary 2
Chomutov 1
TBD -
Usti nad Labem -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Slavia Ceske Budejovice 1
Cesky Krumlov 5
TBD -
Kraluv Dvur -
Rokycany 1
SK Horovice 0
Tempo Prague 2
Loko Praha 3
TJ Bystrice 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
TBD -
Opava -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brno -
Bilovec 0
Vitkovice 1
Nove Sady 2
Sumperk 1
Stonava 1
Polanka nad Odrou 2
Sternberk 2
Rymarov 1
FS Trebic 0
Tasovice 1
Bohunice 1
Uhersky Brod 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Kolin 0
Horni Redice 3
TBD -
Chrudim -
Vykan 4
Caslav 3
TBD -
Dukla Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Slavia HK 1
Trutnov 2
TBD -
Benatky n. Jiz. -
Klasterec nad Ohri 4
Ostrov 3
Kosmonosy 1
Neratovice 4
Bedrichov 1
Humpolec 3
Velka Bites 2
FK Blansko 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slovacko -
FK Kozlovice 1
FK Frydek-Mistek 0
Holesov 1
Slavicin 3
Hluk 2
Brumov 3
TBD -
MFK Karvina -
Spartak Pribram 3
Povltavska FA 2
TBD -
Pisek -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
1/64-finals
Sokolov 3
FK Ceska Lipa 1
Vysoke Myto 2
Vlasim 4
Usti nad Orlici 3
Prepere 4
TBD -
Liberec -
Chlumec nad Cidlinou 0
Admira Prague 4
Benesov 0
Taborsko 1
Krimice 2
Ceske Budejovice 0
TBD -
Teplice -
Hluboka nad Vltavou 1
Aritma Prague 0
Police nad Metuji 2
Zizkov 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
FK Komarov 3
Domazlice 6
Hostoun 0
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 2
Lanzhot 0
TBD -
Ostrava -
Zabreh 5
Rajecko 2
Belotin 1
Havirov 3
Valasske Mezirici 1
Unicov 2
TBD -
Zlin -
Doubravka 2
Motorlet Prague 5
Slovan Havlickuv Brod 1
Jihlava 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Plzen -
Bridlicna 2
Vsechovice 3
FC Kurim 0
Prostejov 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Turnov 0
Banik Most-Sous 2
SK Strakonice 1908 0
Pribram 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Bzenec-Vracov 2
Hodonin 0
Bohumin 1
Trinec 2
Meteor Prague 4
Brozany 1
TBD -
Mlada Boleslav -
Vsetin 6
Chotebor 1
SK Krumvir 0
Kromeriz 3
Hermanuv Mestec 0
Zapy 3
TBD -
Bohemians 1905 -
Brandys nad Labem 1
Varnsdorf 2
Karlovy Vary 0
Usti nad Labem 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Cesky Krumlov 3
Kraluv Dvur 4
Rokycany 0
Loko Praha 2
Frydlant n. Ost. 2
Opava 1
TBD -
Brno -
Vitkovice 6
Nove Sady 0
Polanka nad Odrou 5
Sternberk 1
Tasovice 2
Uhersky Brod 3
TBD -
Artis Brno -
Horni Redice 3
Chrudim 0
Vykan 0
Dukla Prague 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jablonec -
Trutnov 2
Benatky n. Jiz. 5
Klasterec nad Ohri 1
Neratovice 10
Humpolec 0
Velka Bites 2
TBD -
Slovacko -
FK Kozlovice 4
Slavicin 3
Brumov 0
MFK Karvina 4
Spartak Pribram 2
Pisek 3
TBD -
FK Pardubice -
1/32-finals
Sokolov 0
Vlasim 3
Prepere 0
Liberec 2
Admira Prague 0
Taborsko 4
Krimice 1
Teplice 2
Hluboka nad Vltavou 0
Zizkov 2
TBD -
Sparta Prague -
Domazlice 3
SK Kladno 4
Sparta Brno 0
Ostrava 9
Zabreh 0
Havirov 4
Unicov 0
Zlin 2
Motorlet Prague 0
Jihlava 3
TBD -
Plzen -
Vsechovice 0
Prostejov 3
TBD -
Sigma Olomouc -
Banik Most-Sous 1
Pribram 2
TBD -
Hradec Kralove -
Bzenec-Vracov 1
Trinec 4
Meteor Prague 0
Mlada Boleslav 4
Vsetin 2
Kromeriz 1
Zapy 2
Bohemians 1905 3
Varnsdorf 1
Usti nad Labem 0
TBD -
Slavia Prague -
Kraluv Dvur 4
Loko Praha 1
Frydlant n. Ost. 0
Brno 10
Vitkovice 2
Polanka nad Odrou 1
Uhersky Brod 0
Artis Brno 2
Horni Redice 0
Dukla Prague 5
TBD -
Jablonec -
Benatky n. Jiz. 1
Neratovice 2
Velka Bites 1
Slovacko 2
FK Kozlovice 2
MFK Karvina 1
Pisek 0
FK Pardubice 2
1/16-finals
Vlasim 0
Liberec 2
Taborsko 0
Teplice 5
Zizkov 0
Sparta Prague 5
SK Kladno 1
Ostrava 2
Havirov 0
Zlin 4
Jihlava 1
Plzen 6
Prostejov 3
Sigma Olomouc 2
Pribram 1
Hradec Kralove 2
Trinec 0
Mlada Boleslav 3
Vsetin 0
Bohemians 1905 5
Varnsdorf 1
Slavia Prague 5
Kraluv Dvur 0
Brno 3
Vitkovice 0
Artis Brno 3
Dukla Prague 0
Jablonec 1
Neratovice 0
Slovacko 4
FK Kozlovice 0
FK Pardubice 6
1/8-finals
Liberec 1
Teplice 0
Sparta Prague 0
Ostrava 2
Zlin -
Plzen -
Prostejov 1
Hradec Kralove 3
Mlada Boleslav 3
Bohemians 1905 2
Slavia Prague 4
Brno 0
Artis Brno -
Jablonec -
Slovacko 1
FK Pardubice 4
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -