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Sparta Brno vs Velka Bites - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group D
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Brno host Velka Bites in the 4. liga - Group D. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Velka Bites have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Sparta Brno have conceded 1.93 and scored 2.24. Head-to-head, Sparta Brno have won 1 to Velka Bites's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Velka Bites. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Sparta Brno
15%
Draws
35%
Velka Bites
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Brno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Sparta Brno haven't matched Velka Bites's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Brno's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 4. liga - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sparta Brno Clean Sheet 12%
Velka Bites Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Brno Velka Bites
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 2.24 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 4. liga - Group D
Velka Bites vs Sparta Brno
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 4. liga - Group D
Sparta Brno vs Velka Bites
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Brno 83 / 100
Velka Bites 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Brno Velka Bites

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Brno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Brno's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sparta Brno stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Velka Bites let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Brno VS Velka Bites
2.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Brno

(Home)
31 Oct
Sparta Brno
2 : 2
FC Kurim
24 Oct
Bedrichov
2 : 5
Sparta Brno
17 Oct
Sparta Brno
5 : 1
Velke Mezirici
11 Oct
Pelhrimov
0 : 3
Sparta Brno
03 Oct
Sparta Brno
3 : 1
Zdirec nad Doubravou
Page 1 of 6

Velka Bites

(Away)
01 Nov
Velka Bites
3 : 4
Bystrc
24 Oct
Slovan Havlickuv Brod
0 : 2
Velka Bites
18 Oct
Velka Bites
1 : 3
FC Kurim
11 Oct
Humpolec
1 : 4
Velka Bites
04 Oct
Velka Bites
6 : 3
Bedrichov
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bohunice 13 8 3 2 29:12 27
2 FC Kurim 13 8 2 3 50:16 26
3 Sparta Brno 13 8 2 3 29:18 26
4 Velka Bites 13 7 3 3 25:18 24
5 FS Trebic 13 7 3 3 19:20 24
6 Slovan Havlickuv Brod 13 7 2 4 25:17 23
7 Tasovice 13 5 5 3 23:17 20
8 Znojmo 13 5 4 4 23:18 19
9 Pelhrimov 13 5 2 6 27:26 17
10 Bystrc 13 4 5 4 24:27 17
11 Velke Mezirici 13 3 5 5 18:31 14
12 Zdar nad Sazavou 13 3 3 7 21:21 12
13 Zdirec nad Doubravou 13 2 6 5 20:27 12
14 Chotebor 13 2 5 6 13:26 11
15 Humpolec 13 2 4 7 13:23 10
16 Bedrichov 13 0 2 11 11:53 2
Promotion - 3. MSFL 2027/2028 (Main)