Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Biala Podlaska

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Dobruk M.
37' Event
Twarowski S.
45' Event
Konaszewski M.

AI Match Summary

Biala Podlaska in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Biala Podlaska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
6%
Draws
90%
Biala Podlaska
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Biala Podlaska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sparta Kazimierza Wielka haven't matched Biala Podlaska's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Biala Podlaska a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%
Biala Podlaska Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Biala Podlaska
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 2 13
Draws 1 8
Losses 27 7
Goals Scored 0.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 3.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Biala Podlaska
0:5
Oct 25, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Biala Podlaska vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Biala Podlaska Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobruk M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Twarowski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
Biala Podlaska 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Biala Podlaska

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Biala Podlaska has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Sparta Kazimierza Wielka remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka VS Biala Podlaska
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
3.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013