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Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Belych Y.
60' Event
Kocel P.
64' Event
Gorski J.

AI Match Summary

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
6%
Draws
90%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Kazimierza Wielka.
  • Win probability leans Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 2 17
Draws 1 4
Losses 27 6
Goals Scored 0.67 1.75
Goals Conceded 3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2:4
May 21, 2016 III Liga - Group VII
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
4:0
Oct 31, 2015 III Liga - Group VII
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Top Goalscorer Kocel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jurkowski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski Compare

Top Goalscorer Belych Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sparta Kazimierza Wielka remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka VS Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
0.67 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013