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Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Wislanie Skawina Prediction & H2H Stats

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Radwanek B.
43' Event
Gut J.
45' Event
Radwanek B.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Sparta Kazimierza Wielka and Wislanie Skawina finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wislanie Skawina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
15%
Draws
49%
Wislanie Skawina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wislanie Skawina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Wislanie Skawina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Wislanie Skawina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Wislanie Skawina have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Clean Sheet 10%
Wislanie Skawina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Wislanie Skawina
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 2 12
Draws 1 6
Losses 27 10
Goals Scored 0.7 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.4 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka vs Wislanie Skawina
0:6
Aug 8, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Wislanie Skawina vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Wislanie Skawina vs Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Wislanie Skawina Compare

Top Goalscorer Radwanek B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gut J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 10 / 100
Wislanie Skawina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Wislanie Skawina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wislanie Skawina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Wislanie Skawina conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Wislanie Skawina's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka VS Wislanie Skawina
0 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

(Home)
30 May
Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski
2 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
24 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
3 : 1
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
16 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
13 May
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
0 : 5
Biala Podlaska
08 May
Wisloka Debica
3 : 0
Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Page 1 of 6

Wislanie Skawina

(Away)
25 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
1 : 2
Wisloka Debica
20 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
12 Sept
Wislanie Skawina
3 : 1
Jaroslaw
06 Sept
Busko-Zdroj
2 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
28 Aug
Wislanie Skawina
0 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avia Swidnik 34 23 8 3 84:35 77
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 34 22 8 4 66:30 74
3 Chelmianka Chelm 34 21 9 4 65:31 72
4 Korona Kielce II 34 18 4 12 66:59 58
5 Star Starachowice 34 15 10 9 51:43 55
6 Czarni Polaniec 34 16 5 13 59:49 53
7 Biala Podlaska 34 14 10 10 60:48 52
8 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 34 14 9 11 61:45 51
9 Wislanie Skawina 34 15 6 13 52:51 51
10 Wisla II 34 15 4 15 67:58 49
11 Wisloka Debica 34 12 12 10 37:35 48
12 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 34 11 10 13 59:52 43
13 Naprzod Jedrzejow 34 11 5 18 45:55 38
14 Kolbuszowa Dolna 34 11 4 19 36:54 37
15 Stal Krasnik 34 9 7 18 42:52 34
16 Cracovia II 34 9 6 19 44:71 33
17 Swidniczanka Swidnik 34 5 4 25 35:80 19
18 Sparta Kazimierza Wielka 34 4 1 29 29:110 13
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)