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Sparta-KT vs Zarechnoye

Europe Europe

Premier League (Crimea)
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta-KT host Zarechnoye in the Premier League (Crimea). Zarechnoye go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Sparta-KT at 1.28 goals for, 2.41 against; Zarechnoye at 2.45 for, 1.17 against. Past meetings favor Zarechnoye slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2026, ending 6:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Zarechnoye to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Sparta-KT
20%
Draws
73%
Zarechnoye
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zarechnoye

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zarechnoye lately — more wins on the board than Sparta-KT.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Zarechnoye taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sparta-KT Clean Sheet 20%
Zarechnoye Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta-KT Zarechnoye
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.28 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.41 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Sparta-KT
6:1
May 16, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Zarechnoye
1:2
Mar 28, 2026 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Sparta-KT
3:3
Nov 9, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Sparta-KT vs Zarechnoye
1:0
Sep 17, 2025 Premier League (Crimea)
Zarechnoye vs Sparta-KT
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta-KT 10 / 100
Zarechnoye 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta-KT Zarechnoye

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarechnoye Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Sparta-KT scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Zarechnoye conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sparta-KT remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta-KT VS Zarechnoye
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta-KT

(Home)
27 Sept
TSK Simferopol
11 : 0
Sparta-KT
09 Sept
Sparta-KT
1 : 6
MAK
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
27 Jun
GFK Yalta
9 : 0
Sparta-KT
20 Jun
Sparta-KT
0 : 0
Ocean Kerch
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Zarechnoye

(Away)
27 Sept
Ocean Kerch
0 : 2
Zarechnoye
19 Sept
Zarechnoye
1 : 2
TSK Simferopol
09 Sept
Zarechnoye
5 : 0
Feodosiya
05 Sept
MAK
1 : 1
Zarechnoye
30 Aug
Zarechnoye
6 : 1
Sparta-KT
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