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Sparta Nijkerk vs IJsselmeervogels Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark De Ebbenhorst, Nijkerk
Sparta Nijkerk Logo

Sparta Nijkerk

0 - 3
FT
IJsselmeervogels Logo

IJsselmeervogels

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Dkidak A.
Assist: Beers J.
46'
Sub
van der Linde V. In: Vroegh P.
Out: van der Linde V.
49'
Campman B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with IJsselmeervogels advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sparta Nijkerk
15%
Draws
39%
IJsselmeervogels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • IJsselmeervogels haven't matched Sparta Nijkerk's recent run of results.
  • Sparta Nijkerk are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Sparta Nijkerk have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sparta Nijkerk, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 10%
IJsselmeervogels Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Nijkerk IJsselmeervogels
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.41 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Tweede Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs Sparta Nijkerk
2:1
May 27, 2026 Tweede Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs IJsselmeervogels
0:3
Jan 11, 2025 Derde Divisie
IJsselmeervogels vs Sparta Nijkerk
3:2
Aug 17, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs IJsselmeervogels
2:1
Jan 13, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs IJsselmeervogels
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Nijkerk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

IJsselmeervogels Compare

Top Goalscorer Dkidak A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ignacio R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Nijkerk 65 / 100
IJsselmeervogels 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Nijkerk IJsselmeervogels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Nijkerk found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: IJsselmeervogels conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Sparta Nijkerk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Nijkerk VS IJsselmeervogels
2.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Nijkerk

(Home)
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1
RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4
Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2
USV Hercules
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3
Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6

IJsselmeervogels

(Away)
26 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
3 : 0
Rijnsburgse Boys
23 Sept
IJsselmeervogels
0 : 3
Gemert
19 Sept
Rohda Raalte
0 : 1
IJsselmeervogels
05 Sept
VV Kloetinge
0 : 2
IJsselmeervogels
29 Aug
IJsselmeervogels
1 : 1
RKAV Volendam
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
ADO 20 Heemskerk 3
Lisse 0
Sparta Nijkerk 1
IJsselmeervogels 5
Rijnvogels 3
DVS '33 Ermelo 2
VVSB 1
Excelsior Maassluis 4
Semi-finals
ADO 20 Heemskerk 0
IJsselmeervogels 8
Rijnvogels 3
Excelsior Maassluis 4
Final
IJsselmeervogels 3
Excelsior Maassluis 2