Sport Picks
Sparta Nijkerk vs Staphorst - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie game between Sparta Nijkerk and Staphorst finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Nijkerk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Sparta Nijkerk carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Sparta Nijkerk a 68% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 15%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | Staphorst |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.32 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Staphorst
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Staphorst
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Sparta Nijkerk
3:1
Mar 16, 2024 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs Staphorst
3:2
Oct 7, 2023 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs Sparta Nijkerk
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Nijkerk 84 / 100
Staphorst 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Nijkerk Staphorst
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sparta Nijkerk scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.
Staphorst's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Sparta Nijkerk stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Nijkerk VS Staphorst
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Nijkerk
(Home) 10 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 2 VV Scherpenzeel
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2 Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Sparta Nijkerk
0 : 2 VV Scherpenzeel
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
02 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0 Venray
Page 1 of 3
Staphorst
(Away) 10 Oct
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Staphorst
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3 TEC
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 Genemuiden
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 ACV Assen
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
HVV Hollandia
2 : 4 Staphorst
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2 Staphorst
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
15 Aug
VV DOVO
2 : 2 Staphorst
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Scherpenzeel | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Genemuiden | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:10 | 21 |
| 3 | ACV Assen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:12 | 20 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:9 | 19 |
| 6 | TEC | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Sportlust | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:13 | 16 |
| 8 | Purmersteijn | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:18 | 14 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 23:19 | 13 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 12 | USV Hercules | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | 10 |
| 13 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | 6 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | 6 |
| 15 | VV DOVO | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11:28 | 4 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15:27 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9:27 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19:2 | 22 |
| 2 | Lisse | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25:9 | 20 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 20 |
| 5 | VV Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 16 |
| 6 | RKSV UDI 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 8 | Dongen | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 10 | SV Poortugaal | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Gemert | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Roosendaal | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 9 |
| 13 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15:21 | 8 |
| 15 | VVSB | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Groene Ster | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | 6 |
| 17 | Achilles Veen | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 8:20 | 6 |
| 18 | EVV | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
