Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
USV Hercules in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored USV Hercules.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
68%
15%
17%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Nijkerk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
68%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sparta Nijkerk lately — more wins on the board than USV Hercules.
- Model gives Sparta Nijkerk a 68% chance of winning this.
- Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 13%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Nijkerk | USV Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.39 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs USV Hercules
1:2
Feb 28, 2026 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs USV Hercules
5:0
Jan 18, 2025 Derde Divisie
Sparta Nijkerk vs USV Hercules
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Sparta Nijkerk
0:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Nijkerk 84 / 100
USV Hercules 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Nijkerk USV Hercules
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Nijkerk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sparta Nijkerk found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Defensive concern: USV Hercules conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Sparta Nijkerk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Nijkerk VS USV Hercules
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Nijkerk
(Home) 23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
19 Sept
Eemdijk
0 : 4 Sparta Nijkerk
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
02 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0 Venray
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23 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 1 RKSV UDI 19
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
02 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
2 : 0 Venray
29 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
5 : 5 HVV Hollandia
15 Aug
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 3 Sportlust
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USV Hercules
(Away) 20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
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12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
16 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
3 : 1 USV Hercules
08 Aug
Rijnsburgse Boys
1 : 1 USV Hercules
23 May
TEC
0 : 0 USV Hercules
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ACV Assen | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Genemuiden | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 15 |
| 4 | VV Scherpenzeel | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Excelsior 31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 13 |
| 6 | Sportlust | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:9 | 12 |
| 7 | Purmersteijn | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 8 | TEC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Sparta Nijkerk | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 17:14 | 8 |
| 10 | VV Hoogeveen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | 7 |
| 11 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11:12 | 7 |
| 12 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 5 |
| 13 | VV DOVO | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:13 | 5 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | 3 |
| 15 | USV Hercules | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8:20 | 3 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:19 | 3 |
| 17 | HVV Hollandia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13:20 | 1 |
| 18 | SVZW Wierden | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Noordwijk | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:0 | 16 |
| 2 | Lisse | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 15 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 6 | GOES | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 7 | SV Poortugaal | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 8 | Dongen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 9 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Gemert | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10:10 | 7 |
| 11 | VVSB | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 12 | VV Zwaluwen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | 7 |
| 13 | UNA | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | 6 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 15 | Roosendaal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:18 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 1 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)
