Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026

Sparta Nijkerk

2 - 0

VV Scherpenzeel

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between Sparta Nijkerk and VV Scherpenzeel finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Nijkerk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Sparta Nijkerk

33%

Draws

40%

VV Scherpenzeel

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: VV Scherpenzeel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Sparta Nijkerk carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives VV Scherpenzeel a 40% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Sparta Nijkerk Clean Sheet 16%

VV Scherpenzeel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sparta Nijkerk	VV Scherpenzeel
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	11
Draws	3	7
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	2.63	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie

Sparta Nijkerk vs VV Scherpenzeel

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie

VV Scherpenzeel vs Sparta Nijkerk

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Nijkerk 28 / 100

VV Scherpenzeel 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sparta Nijkerk VV Scherpenzeel

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VVS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Nijkerk scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: VV Scherpenzeel conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Sparta Nijkerk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Nijkerk VS VV Scherpenzeel

2.63 Goals Scored 1.25

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rohda Raalte	34	20	7	7	63:36	67
2	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	17	11	6	59:39	62
3	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	4	11	84:43	61
4	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	9	8	46:36	60
5	Genemuiden	34	17	5	12	61:52	56
6	Staphorst	34	17	3	14	63:53	54
7	Harkemase Boys	34	14	10	10	56:44	52
8	VV DOVO	34	15	7	12	53:43	52
9	Eemdijk	34	14	8	12	68:59	50
10	VV Scherpenzeel	34	14	7	13	59:49	49
11	VV Hoogeveen	34	14	6	14	54:64	48
12	Sportlust	34	14	5	15	54:52	47
13	USV Hercules	34	13	5	16	53:57	44
14	Excelsior 31	34	12	4	18	49:57	40
15	Huizen	34	11	7	16	51:63	40
16	TEC	34	12	4	18	48:64	40
17	Urk	34	8	7	19	61:97	31
18	HSC '21	34	1	5	28	35:109	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VV Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	68:43	73
2	Lisse	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	VVSB	34	21	5	8	70:37	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	63:39	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	71:46	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	71:58	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	64:61	53
8	VV Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	61:48	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	53:51	48
10	VV Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	56:51	44
11	RKSV UDI 19	34	11	6	17	57:74	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	51:59	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	43:61	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	45:64	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	35:69	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	49:65	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	47:70	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	45:87	25