Sport Picks
Sparta Prague vs AZ Alkmaar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
Europa League epet ARENA, Prague 
AI Match Summary
Sparta Prague host AZ Alkmaar in the Europa League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. AZ Alkmaar have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Sparta Prague have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.96. Past meetings favor AZ Alkmaar slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 19, 2026, ending 0:4. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.13, favoring AZ Alkmaar. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Sparta Prague come out ahead of AZ Alkmaar on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Sparta Prague's way, sitting at 36%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Prague | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.96 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Sparta Prague's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
AZ Alkmaar has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Away concern: AZ Alkmaar has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Prague
(Home)AZ Alkmaar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Benfica | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Bournemouth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Ferencvaros | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Royale Union SG | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 10 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 8 | Besiktas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Din. Zagreb | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 7 |
| 10 | Levski Sofia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 12 | Nijmegen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 14 | AZ Alkmaar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 15 | Anderlecht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 16 | OFI Crete | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 17 | Rennes | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 18 | Omonia | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 19 | Torreense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 6 |
| 20 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 5 |
| 22 | Sparta Prague | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 23 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 24 | Sturm Graz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 25 | Celje | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 4 |
| 26 | Salzburg | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 27 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 29 | Jagiellonia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 3 |
| 30 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 31 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 32 | Celtic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 33 | H. Beer Sheva | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:8 | 1 |
| 34 | Lillestrom | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:10 | 1 |
| 35 | Lech Poznan | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 36 | Ararat-Armenia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | 0 |
