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Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Europa League epet ARENA, Prague
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Guddal T.
20'
Christie R.
30' Event
Cook L.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The Europa League game between Sparta Prague and Bournemouth finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bournemouth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sparta Prague
15%
Draws
67%
Bournemouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Bournemouth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bournemouth are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 15%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Prague Bournemouth
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.96 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2026 Europa League
Sparta Prague vs Bournemouth
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Singhateh E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Bournemouth Compare

Top Goalscorer Adams T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evanilson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Prague 10 / 100
Bournemouth 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Prague Bournemouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Sparta Prague scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Bournemouth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Sparta Prague has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Prague VS Bournemouth
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Prague

(Home)
05 Nov
Sparta Prague
1 : 3
Bournemouth
01 Nov
Bohemians 1905
0 : 0
Sparta Prague
28 Oct
Sparta Prague
0 : 2
Ostrava
25 Oct
Sparta Prague
5 : 1
Slovacko
22 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
Page 1 of 6

Bournemouth

(Away)
05 Nov
Sparta Prague
1 : 3
Bournemouth
31 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0
Leeds
28 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
Aston Villa
25 Oct
Manchester United
0 : 3
Bournemouth
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0
AC Milan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 4 4 0 0 13:3 12
2 Bournemouth 4 4 0 0 11:2 12
3 Ferencvaros 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
4 Royale Union SG 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
5 Juventus 4 3 1 0 11:4 10
6 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
7 Bayer Leverkusen 4 3 0 1 8:1 9
8 Besiktas 4 2 1 1 11:8 7
9 Din. Zagreb 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Levski Sofia 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
11 Sunderland 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
12 Nijmegen 4 2 1 1 8:9 7
13 Lyon 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
14 AZ Alkmaar 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
15 Anderlecht 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
16 OFI Crete 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
17 Rennes 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
18 Omonia 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
19 Torreense 4 2 0 2 7:9 6
20 Real Sociedad 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
21 Crystal Palace 4 1 2 1 9:6 5
22 Sparta Prague 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
23 Hoffenheim 4 1 1 2 6:6 4
24 Sturm Graz 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
25 Celje 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
26 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
27 Celta Vigo 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
28 AC Milan 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
29 Jagiellonia 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
30 Plzen 4 1 0 3 3:7 3
31 Marseille 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
32 Celtic 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
33 H. Beer Sheva 4 0 1 3 1:8 1
34 Lillestrom 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
35 Lech Poznan 4 0 1 3 2:12 1
36 Ararat-Armenia 4 0 0 4 4:14 0
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)