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Stadium Background

Sparta Prague vs FK Pardubice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga epet ARENA, Prague
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sparta Prague host FK Pardubice in the Chance Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sparta Prague have averaged 2 scored and 1.28 conceded recently, against FK Pardubice's 2.03 scored and 1.27 conceded. Past meetings favor Sparta Prague slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 30, 2025, ending 2:4. xG projections (1.81 - 1.50) back Sparta Prague to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sparta Prague
15%
Draws
39%
FK Pardubice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sparta Prague have won more games recently than FK Pardubice.
  • Model gives Sparta Prague a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sparta Prague here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 16%
FK Pardubice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Prague FK Pardubice
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2025 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs FK Pardubice
2:4
Aug 3, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Sparta Prague
1:3
Apr 19, 2025 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Sparta Prague
1:2
Jul 19, 2024 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs FK Pardubice
2:1
Dec 3, 2023 Chance Liga
FK Pardubice vs Sparta Prague
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Prague 66 / 100
FK Pardubice 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Prague FK Pardubice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Sparta Prague scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

FK Pardubice let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Sparta Prague stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Prague VS FK Pardubice
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Prague

(Home)
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Zizkov
0 : 5
Sparta Prague
06 Sept
Hradec Kralove
2 : 1
Sparta Prague
Page 1 of 6

FK Pardubice

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Pardubice
2 : 1
Bohemians 1905
16 Sept
FK Kozlovice
0 : 6
FK Pardubice
13 Sept
Ostrava
1 : 2
FK Pardubice
05 Sept
Slovacko
0 : 0
FK Pardubice
29 Aug
FK Pardubice
1 : 2
Artis Brno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)