Sport Picks

Czech Republic

Chance Liga 2025/2026 epet ARENA

Sparta Prague

2 - 1

Hradec Kralove

Our Tip

Match Events

Ludvicek D.

34'

Mercado J.

Assist: Kuchta J.

48'

Rrahmani A.

Assist: Zeleny J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sparta Prague in this Chance Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Prague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Sparta Prague

40%

Draws

29%

Hradec Kralove

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Sparta Prague have won more games recently than Hradec Kralove.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Sparta Prague have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 20%

Hradec Kralove Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sparta Prague	Hradec Kralove
Matches Played	29	27
Wins	17	15
Draws	4	5
Losses	8	7
Goals Scored	1.75	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.38	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Chance Liga

Sparta Prague vs Hradec Kralove

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Feb 15, 2026 Chance Liga

Sparta Prague vs Hradec Kralove

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Sep 14, 2025 Chance Liga

Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Prague

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

2:1

Feb 9, 2025 Chance Liga

Sparta Prague vs Hradec Kralove

Possession: 42% - 41% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Aug 31, 2024 Chance Liga

Hradec Kralove vs Sparta Prague

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercado J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rrahmani A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Hradec Kralove Compare

Top Goalscorer Ludvicek D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Prague 32 / 100

Hradec Kralove 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sparta Prague Hradec Kralove

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 4:4

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sparta Prague scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Hradec Kralove let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Sparta Prague remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Prague VS Hradec Kralove

1.75 Goals Scored 1.5

0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

63% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Slavia Prague	35	24	8	3	74:31	80
2	Sparta Prague	35	23	7	5	69:34	76
3	Plzen	35	18	9	8	60:38	63
4	Hradec Kralove	35	16	8	11	50:41	56
5	Jablonec	35	16	7	12	45:47	55
6	Liberec	35	12	10	13	45:39	46