Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Prague vs Jablonec

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga epet ARENA, Prague
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Suchomel M.
19' Event
Alcocer J.
Assist: Brunes J.
40'
Okeke N.

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga game between Sparta Prague and Jablonec finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Prague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Sparta Prague
20%
Draws
24%
Jablonec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sparta Prague come out ahead of Jablonec on wins alone.
  • Sparta Prague are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 19%
Jablonec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Prague Jablonec
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 18 16
Draws 1 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.97 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Jablonec
2:0
May 3, 2026 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Jablonec
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Jablonec
3:1
Jul 19, 2025 Chance Liga
Jablonec vs Sparta Prague
1:1
May 4, 2025 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Jablonec
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcocer J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mercado J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Jablonec Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Prague 67 / 100
Jablonec 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Prague Jablonec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sparta Prague scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Jablonec let in goals in 63% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Sparta Prague went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Prague VS Jablonec
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Prague

(Home)
20 Sept
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 3
Sparta Prague
16 Sept
Ararat-Armenia
1 : 4
Sparta Prague
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Zizkov
0 : 5
Sparta Prague
06 Sept
Hradec Kralove
2 : 1
Sparta Prague
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Jablonec

(Away)
20 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 1
Zlin
12 Sept
Sparta Prague
2 : 0
Jablonec
09 Sept
Jablonec
3 : 0
Ostrava
06 Sept
Jablonec
1 : 2
Liberec
02 Sept
Bohemians 1905
1 : 1
Jablonec
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 9 7 2 0 25:6 23
2 Liberec 9 6 2 1 13:4 20
3 Mlada Boleslav 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
4 Sigma Olomouc 9 5 1 3 16:13 16
5 Teplice 9 5 1 3 17:15 16
6 Brno 9 5 1 3 12:12 16
7 Sparta Prague 9 5 0 4 18:12 15
8 Jablonec 9 4 2 3 11:9 14
9 Hradec Kralove 9 4 2 3 8:9 14
10 Plzen 9 2 4 3 17:17 10
11 Ostrava 9 3 1 5 7:17 10
12 Bohemians 1905 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
13 FK Pardubice 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Artis Brno 9 1 2 6 7:18 5
15 Slovacko 9 0 4 5 7:16 4
16 Zlin 9 0 1 8 8:19 1
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)