Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Prague vs Opava

World World

Club Friendly TCM Strahov, Prague
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Haraslin L.
45'
Lehoczki O.
46'
Sub
Surovcik J. In: Hegyi K.
Out: Surovcik J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Sparta Prague and Opava finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sparta Prague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Sparta Prague
11%
Draws
9%
Opava
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sparta Prague come out ahead of Opava on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sparta Prague a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sparta Prague here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 68%
Opava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Prague Opava
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 9
Draws 3 7
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Sparta Prague vs Opava
4:1
Apr 3, 2024 MOL Cup
Opava vs Sparta Prague
0:2
Jun 30, 2022 Club Friendly
Sparta Prague vs Opava
3:0
Apr 25, 2021 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Opava
4:2
Jan 20, 2021 Chance Liga
Opava vs Sparta Prague
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Sevcik M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Haraslin L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Opava Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacik B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Prague 86 / 100
Opava 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Prague Opava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Sparta Prague scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Opava has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Sparta Prague remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Prague VS Opava
1.75 Goals Scored 0.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Prague

(Home)
17 Jul
Nordsjaelland
5 : 1
Sparta Prague
16 Jul
Jagiellonia
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
11 Jul
Sparta Prague
3 : 0
Gamba Osaka
04 Jul
Sparta Prague
4 : 1
Opava
24 May
Sparta Prague
2 : 1
Hradec Kralove
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Opava

(Away)
18 Jul
Opava
1 : 2
Petrzalka
11 Jul
Opava
3 : 2
Polonia Bytom
08 Jul
Opava
0 : 2
Hlubina
04 Jul
Sparta Prague
4 : 1
Opava
27 Jun
Opava
1 : 1
Prostejov
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