Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Prague vs Plzen

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga 2025/2026 epet ARENA, Prague
Sparta Prague Logo

Sparta Prague

0 - 0
FT
Plzen Logo

Plzen

Our Tip

Match Events

60'
Sub
Ladra T. In: Adu P.
Out: Ladra T.
60'
Sub
Visinsky D. In: Souare C.
Out: Visinsky D.
66'
Sub
Vojta M. In: Panak F.
Out: Vojta M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Chance Liga 2025/2026 game between Sparta Prague and Plzen finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Sparta Prague
20%
Draws
38%
Plzen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sparta Prague

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sparta Prague come out ahead of Plzen on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sparta Prague's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 68%
Plzen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Prague Plzen
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 11
Draws 2 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.79 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Plzen
0:0
Feb 22, 2026 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Sparta Prague
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Plzen
2:1
Apr 27, 2025 Chance Liga
Plzen vs Sparta Prague
2:0
Apr 23, 2025 MOL Cup
Sparta Prague vs Plzen
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Prague 50 / 100
Plzen 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Prague Plzen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sparta Prague Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sparta Prague scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Plzen let in goals in 67% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Sparta Prague remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Prague VS Plzen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Prague

(Home)
15 Aug
Sparta Prague
4 : 1
Teplice
11 Aug
Lyon
3 : 0
Sparta Prague
08 Aug
Mlada Boleslav
2 : 0
Sparta Prague
04 Aug
Sparta Prague
2 : 1
Lyon
31 Jul
Sparta Prague
3 : 1
Zlin
Page 1 of 6

Plzen

(Away)
15 Aug
Plzen
3 : 2
Zlin
08 Aug
Teplice
5 : 5
Plzen
01 Aug
Plzen
1 : 1
Brno
25 Jul
Plzen
1 : 3
Liberec
14 Jul
Plzen
2 : 0
Polissya Zhytomyr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 35 24 8 3 74:31 80
2 Sparta Prague 35 23 7 5 69:34 76
3 Plzen 35 18 9 8 60:38 63
4 Hradec Kralove 35 16 8 11 50:41 56
5 Jablonec 35 16 7 12 45:47 55
6 Liberec 35 12 10 13 45:39 46
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)