Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sparta Prague vs Teplice - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Chance Liga epet ARENA, Prague
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Guddal T.
Assist: Irving A.
25' Event
Marecek L.
36' Event
Irving A.
Assist: Alcocer J.

AI Match Summary

Sparta Prague in this Chance Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sparta Prague.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sparta Prague
30%
Draws
39%
Teplice
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Teplice

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Teplice lately — more wins on the board than Sparta Prague.
  • Sparta Prague are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Chance Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sparta Prague Clean Sheet 20%
Teplice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Prague Teplice
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.9 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Teplice
4:1
Apr 12, 2026 Chance Liga
Teplice vs Sparta Prague
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Teplice
2:2
Apr 9, 2025 MOL Cup
Sparta Prague vs Teplice
3:2
Nov 23, 2024 Chance Liga
Sparta Prague vs Teplice
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sparta Prague Compare

Top Goalscorer Alcocer J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Guddal T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Teplice Compare

Top Goalscorer Marecek L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Prague 36 / 100
Teplice 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Prague Teplice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Sparta Prague found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Teplice let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Sparta Prague has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Prague VS Teplice
2.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Prague

(Home)
05 Nov
Sparta Prague
1 : 3
Bournemouth
01 Nov
Bohemians 1905
0 : 0
Sparta Prague
28 Oct
Sparta Prague
0 : 2
Ostrava
25 Oct
Sparta Prague
5 : 1
Slovacko
22 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0
Sparta Prague
Page 1 of 6

Teplice

(Away)
31 Oct
Slovacko
1 : 3
Teplice
27 Oct
Liberec
1 : 0
Teplice
24 Oct
Teplice
0 : 0
Artis Brno
17 Oct
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 0
Teplice
11 Oct
Teplice
1 : 1
Sigma Olomouc
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slavia Prague 13 9 4 0 32:7 31
2 Mlada Boleslav 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
3 Sigma Olomouc 13 7 3 3 22:15 24
4 Sparta Prague 13 7 2 4 25:13 23
5 Liberec 12 7 2 3 15:8 23
6 Teplice 13 6 3 4 21:18 21
7 Bohemians 1905 13 5 5 3 15:14 20
8 Jablonec 13 6 2 5 16:18 20
9 Brno 13 6 2 5 16:19 20
10 Plzen 13 5 4 4 28:21 19
11 Hradec Kralove 13 4 3 6 12:18 15
12 FK Pardubice 13 4 2 7 15:19 14
13 Ostrava 12 3 2 7 7:22 11
14 Artis Brno 13 2 4 7 14:24 10
15 Slovacko 13 1 4 8 12:26 7
16 Zlin 13 0 3 10 11:26 3
Promotion - Chance Liga (Championship Group)
Promotion - Chance Liga (7th-10th places)
Relegation - Chance Liga (Relegation Group)