Sport Picks
Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eredivisie Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam 
Match Events
24'
24'
Baas J.
28'
28'
Courtens N.
Assist: Smans L.
43'
43'
Trenskow J.
Assist: Rivera M.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie game between Sparta Rotterdam and Heerenveen finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Heerenveen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
35%
46%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Heerenveen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Heerenveen carry the better recent record into this one.
- Heerenveen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Heerenveen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 13%
Heerenveen Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Rotterdam | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.59 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen
0:4
Feb 28, 2026 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen
0:3
Apr 12, 2025 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Heerenveen
3:1
Oct 26, 2024 Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Sparta Rotterdam
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sparta Rotterdam Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Heerenveen Compare
Top Goalscorer Courtens N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Trenskow J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Rotterdam 19 / 100
Heerenveen 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Rotterdam Heerenveen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Heerenveen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:8
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Sparta Rotterdam's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Heerenveen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Sparta Rotterdam remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Rotterdam VS Heerenveen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Rotterdam
(Home) 10 Oct
G.A. Eagles
3 : 3 Sparta Rotterdam
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Zwolle
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Zwolle
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3 Utrecht
09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1 Feyenoord
01 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 0 Duisburg
Page 1 of 3
Heerenveen
(Away) 09 Oct
PSV
2 : 0 Heerenveen
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
13 Sept
Heerenveen
0 : 0 Telstar
06 Sept
Heerenveen
2 : 3 AZ Alkmaar
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
PSV
2 : 0 Heerenveen
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
30 Aug
Willem II
2 : 2 Heerenveen
16 Aug
Ajax
2 : 2 Heerenveen
17 Jul
Club Brugge
2 : 3 Heerenveen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 |
| 2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:10 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:25 | 8 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7:23 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
