Sport Picks
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eredivisie Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam 
AI Match Summary
Sparta Rotterdam host Willem II in the Eredivisie. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sparta Rotterdam have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.86 conceded recently, against Willem II's 1.81 scored and 1.22 conceded. Head-to-head, Sparta Rotterdam have won 4 to Willem II's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 18, 2025, ending 1:5. xG projections (2.00 - 1.38) back Willem II to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Willem II have won more games recently than Sparta Rotterdam.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Sparta Rotterdam taking it.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Sparta Rotterdam here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Rotterdam | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 32 |
| Wins | 6 | 16 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.81 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.22 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Sparta Rotterdam scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Willem II conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.
Willem II lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Rotterdam
(Home)Willem II
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
