Sport Picks
Sparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Eredivisie Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel, Rotterdam 
Match Events
21'
21'
Cissoko I.
Assist: Mbayo D.
24'
24'
Zonneveld M.
Assist: Baas J.
63'
63'
Sub
Oosting T. In: Velanas O.
Out: Oosting T.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zwolle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Sparta Rotterdam have won more games recently than Zwolle.
- 23% — that's where the model lands on Sparta Rotterdam taking it.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Sparta Rotterdam Clean Sheet 19%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sparta Rotterdam | Zwolle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.94 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle
2:2
Mar 8, 2026 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Zwolle
1:1
Nov 30, 2024 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Sparta Rotterdam
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sparta Rotterdam Compare
Top Goalscorer Zonneveld M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Babadi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Zwolle Compare
Top Goalscorer Cissoko I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kostons K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sparta Rotterdam 58 / 100
Zwolle 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sparta Rotterdam Zwolle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sparta Rotterdam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Zwolle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.
Sparta Rotterdam found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Zwolle has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sparta Rotterdam VS Zwolle
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sparta Rotterdam
(Home) 10 Oct
G.A. Eagles
3 : 3 Sparta Rotterdam
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Zwolle
29 Aug
Excelsior
2 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 4 Heerenveen
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Zwolle
22 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 3 Utrecht
09 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1 Feyenoord
01 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 0 Duisburg
Page 1 of 4
Zwolle
(Away) 18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0 Zwolle
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7 Feyenoord
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3 Nijmegen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2 Zwolle
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0 Zwolle
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Zwolle
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2 Zwolle
16 Aug
Twente
3 : 1 Zwolle
01 Aug
Hannover
3 : 0 Zwolle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 |
| 2 | PSV | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:10 | 19 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Twente | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Ajax | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Sittard | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 9 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:25 | 8 |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | 6 |
| 14 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7:23 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
