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Sparta Selemet vs FCM Ungheni Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 Stadionul Suruceni, Suruceni
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AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Sparta Selemet and FCM Ungheni finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sparta Selemet
15%
Draws
85%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FCM Ungheni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FCM Ungheni come out ahead of Sparta Selemet on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on FCM Ungheni taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Sparta Selemet Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sparta Selemet FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.27 2.81
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Sparta Selemet
5:2
Aug 8, 2026 Liga 1
Sparta Selemet vs FCM Ungheni
1:1
Apr 15, 2025 Moldovan Cup
FCM Ungheni vs Sparta Selemet
0:1
Apr 3, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Sparta Selemet vs FCM Ungheni
3:3
May 13, 2022 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Sparta Selemet
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sparta Selemet 10 / 100
FCM Ungheni 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sparta Selemet FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCM Ungheni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FCM Ungheni has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Sparta Selemet's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: FCM Ungheni registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sparta Selemet VS FCM Ungheni
1 Goals Scored 3.25
4.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Sparta Selemet

(Home)
19 Sept
Sparta Selemet
1 : 2
Vulturii Cutezatori
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
04 Sept
Sparta Selemet
3 : 4
Zimbru Chisinau 2
01 Sept
Sparta Selemet
0 : 3
Univer Comrat
29 Aug
Sparta Selemet
1 : 6
Univer Comrat
Page 1 of 6

FCM Ungheni

(Away)
18 Sept
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
FCM Ungheni
12 Sept
FCM Ungheni
5 : 2
Sparta Selemet
05 Sept
Vulturii Cutezatori
3 : 4
FCM Ungheni
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
28 Aug
FCM Ungheni
2 : 3
Iskra Ribnita
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 8 6 1 1 27:14 19
2 Iskra Ribnita 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
3 FCM Ungheni 8 4 2 2 23:16 14
4 Univer Comrat 8 2 3 3 17:17 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 8 2 1 5 14:20 7
6 Sparta Selemet 8 0 1 7 10:38 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 7 4 2 1 8:3 14
2 Stauceni 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
3 National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Falesti 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)