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Spartak Dubnica vs Pata

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Dubnica play Pata in the 4. liga - West 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartak Dubnica averaged 2 goals scored and 1.26 conceded. Pata averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Dubnica won 4, Pata won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 14, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Spartak Dubnica and 1.25 for Pata. This points to a Spartak Dubnica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Spartak Dubnica
15%
Draws
35%
Pata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Dubnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Spartak Dubnica picked up more points recently compared to Pata.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Spartak Dubnica Clean Sheet 19%
Pata Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Dubnica Pata
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 4. liga - West
Spartak Dubnica vs Pata
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 4. liga - West
Pata vs Spartak Dubnica
0:2
Mar 8, 2025 4. liga - West
Spartak Dubnica vs Pata
2:0
Aug 4, 2024 4. liga - West
Pata vs Spartak Dubnica
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Dubnica 49 / 100
Pata 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Dubnica Pata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spartak Dubnica or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Dubnica attacking → ← attacking Pata

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Dubnica scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Pata let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Spartak Dubnica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pata lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 51
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63