Sport Picks

Slovakia

4. liga - West 2025/2026

Sered

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spartak Dubnica play Sered in the 4. liga - West 2025/2026. Spartak Dubnica are favorites here. Recently, Spartak Dubnica averaged 2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Sered averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Dubnica won 2, Sered won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 6:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Spartak Dubnica and 1.13 for Sered. This points to a Spartak Dubnica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Spartak Dubnica

15%

Draws

24%

Sered

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Dubnica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence

Spartak Dubnica picked up more points recently compared to Sered.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 63%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Spartak Dubnica Clean Sheet 21%

Sered Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spartak Dubnica	Sered
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	18	9
Draws	5	4
Losses	7	17
Goals Scored	2	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.73
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 4. liga - West

Spartak Dubnica vs Sered

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

6:1

Aug 2, 2025 4. liga - West

Sered vs Spartak Dubnica

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 1 - 1

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Dubnica 59 / 100

Sered 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spartak Dubnica Sered

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Dubnica Win (1)

Secondary Pick Spartak Dubnica & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.3%

1.89

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.3%

1.75

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Dubnica attacking → ← attacking Sered

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Dubnica scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Sered let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Spartak Dubnica went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sered lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 31

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38