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Spartak Moscow U19 vs Ural U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Youth League
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Moscow U19 host Ural U19 in the Youth League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Spartak Moscow U19 have averaged 1.67 scored and 1.8 conceded recently, against Ural U19's 1.24 scored and 2.07 conceded. Past meetings favor Spartak Moscow U19 slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 3:3. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.50, favoring Spartak Moscow U19. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Spartak Moscow U19
20%
Draws
30%
Ural U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Moscow U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Moscow U19 lately — more wins on the board than Ural U19.
  • Model gives Spartak Moscow U19 a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Spartak Moscow U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Ural U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Moscow U19 Ural U19
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.67 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Youth League
Ural U19 vs Spartak Moscow U19
3:3
Aug 29, 2025 Youth League
Spartak Moscow U19 vs Ural U19
4:1
Apr 18, 2025 Youth League
Ural U19 vs Spartak Moscow U19
0:4
Oct 20, 2023 Youth League
Ural U19 vs Spartak Moscow U19
0:6
Oct 14, 2022 Youth League
Ural U19 vs Spartak Moscow U19
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Moscow U19 84 / 100
Ural U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Moscow U19 Ural U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Moscow U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ural U19 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.20 goals as a typical output.

Spartak Moscow U19's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Spartak Moscow U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Moscow U19 VS Ural U19
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Moscow U19

(Home)
18 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg U19
3 : 2
Spartak Moscow U19
11 Sept
Spartak Moscow U19
0 : 0
Krasnodar U19
04 Sept
FK Rostov U19
0 : 0
Spartak Moscow U19
28 Aug
Spartak Moscow U19
3 : 1
Rodina Moscow U19
21 Aug
FC Chertanovo Moscow U19
1 : 0
Spartak Moscow U19
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Ural U19

(Away)
18 Sept
Ural U19
0 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala U19
11 Sept
Rubin Kazan U19
0 : 4
Ural U19
04 Sept
Konoplev Academy U19
3 : 0
Ural U19
28 Aug
Ural U19
3 : 6
Zenit St Petersburg U19
21 Aug
Krasnodar U19
4 : 0
Ural U19
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 24 18 2 4 77:33 56
2 Krasnodar U19 24 17 2 5 72:36 53
3 Zenit St Petersburg U19 24 16 3 5 68:32 51
4 Rodina Moscow U19 24 15 3 6 62:31 48
5 Lokomotiv Moscow U19 24 14 5 5 59:37 47
6 Konoplev Academy U19 24 13 5 6 51:37 44
7 Almaz Antey U19 24 11 5 8 46:51 38
8 Spartak Moscow U19 24 7 10 7 38:41 31
9 FK Rostov U19 24 9 4 11 36:42 31
10 Dynamo Moscow U19 24 9 2 13 39:46 29
11 Dynamo Makhachkala U19 24 7 3 14 32:56 24
12 FC Chertanovo Moscow U19 24 6 5 13 33:55 23
13 Ural U19 24 6 4 14 29:51 22
14 FC Nizhny Novgorod (Est. 2015) U19 24 5 4 15 29:64 19
15 Rubin Kazan U19 24 4 3 17 26:59 15
16 Fakel Voronezh U19 24 3 4 17 25:51 13
Relegation - Youth League (Relegation)