Sport Picks
Spartak Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
Russia
Premier League Lukoil Arena, Moscow 
Match Events
39'
39'
Sub
Turishchev M. In: El Mhassani H.
Out: Turishchev M.
59'
59'
Bardachev M.
61'
61'
Sub
Daku M. In: Barco E.
Out: Daku M.
AI Match Summary
Spartak Moscow in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Moscow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
73%
20%
7%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Spartak Moscow lately — more wins on the board than Fakel Voronezh.
- 73% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Moscow taking it.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Moscow | Fakel Voronezh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
1:0
May 4, 2025 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Spartak Moscow
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
3:0
Mar 10, 2024 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
0:2
Oct 28, 2023 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Spartak Moscow
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spartak Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Ugalde M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Fakel Voronezh Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Moscow 85 / 100
Fakel Voronezh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Moscow Fakel Voronezh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spartak Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartak Moscow scored in 90% of their last 31 games.
Fakel Voronezh has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Spartak Moscow remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Moscow VS Fakel Voronezh
2.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Moscow
(Home) 16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1 Spartak Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 Orenburg
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0 FK Rostov
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1 Rodina Moscow
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1 Orenburg
23 Aug
Spartak Moscow
2 : 0 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 4
Fakel Voronezh
(Away) 16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
18 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
2 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
15 Aug
CSKA Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
02 Aug
Krasnodar
3 : 2 Fakel Voronezh
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:16 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7:10 | 9 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:18 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
