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Spartak Moscow vs FK Rostov - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Lukoil Arena, Moscow
Spartak Moscow Logo

Spartak Moscow

3 - 0
FT
FK Rostov Logo

FK Rostov

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Fernandes G.
Assist: Denisov D.
55' Event
Solari P.
(Penalty)
60'
Sub
Komarov I. In: Ronaldo
Out: Komarov I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spartak Moscow in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Spartak Moscow
15%
Draws
32%
FK Rostov
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Rostov haven't matched Spartak Moscow's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Moscow taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 20%
FK Rostov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Moscow FK Rostov
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.64 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs FK Rostov
3:0
Apr 12, 2026 Premier League
FK Rostov vs Spartak Moscow
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Spartak Moscow vs FK Rostov
5:2
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs FK Rostov
1:1
Sep 18, 2025 Russian Cup
Spartak Moscow vs FK Rostov
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Massalyga N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

FK Rostov Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Moscow 85 / 100
FK Rostov 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Moscow FK Rostov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Moscow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Moscow's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

FK Rostov's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Spartak Moscow went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Moscow VS FK Rostov
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Moscow

(Home)
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1
Rodina Moscow
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1
Orenburg
Page 1 of 6

FK Rostov

(Away)
09 Oct
FK Rostov
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Krasnodar
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)