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Spartak Moscow vs Pyunik Yerevan

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Moscow play Pyunik Yerevan in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartak Moscow averaged 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Pyunik Yerevan averaged 1.34 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Moscow won 1, Pyunik Yerevan won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 3, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Spartak Moscow and 0.94 for Pyunik Yerevan. This points to a Spartak Moscow double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Spartak Moscow
20%
Draws
35%
Pyunik Yerevan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Spartak Moscow picked up more points recently compared to Pyunik Yerevan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 24%
Pyunik Yerevan Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Moscow Pyunik Yerevan
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 19 18
Draws 4 8
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.71 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Club Friendly
Spartak Moscow vs Pyunik Yerevan
2:0
Feb 11, 2022 Club Friendly
Spartak Moscow vs Pyunik Yerevan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bongonda T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pyunik Yerevan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Moscow 45 / 100
Pyunik Yerevan 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Moscow Pyunik Yerevan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spartak Moscow or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21.5%
2.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Moscow attacking → ← attacking Pyunik Yerevan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Moscow scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Pyunik Yerevan let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Spartak Moscow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pyunik Yerevan lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 62
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75