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Stadium Background

Spartak Moscow W vs Krylya Sovetov Samara W

Russia Russia

Russia Cup Women 2025 Cherenkov Academy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Blagojevic D.
46'
Sub
Vukovic M. In: Matic T.
Out: Vukovic M.
46'
Sub
Stepasheva M. In: Turieva A.
Out: Stepasheva M.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Moscow W host Krylya Sovetov Samara W in the Russia Cup Women 2025. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Spartak Moscow W have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.38 conceded recently, against Krylya Sovetov Samara W's 1.38 scored and 0.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Spartak Moscow W have won 5 to Krylya Sovetov Samara W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 0.88) point toward Spartak Moscow W. Spartak Moscow W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spartak Moscow W
6%
Draws
4%
Krylya Sovetov Samara W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Moscow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartak Moscow W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Krylya Sovetov Samara W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Spartak Moscow W.
  • Cup tournament structure in Russia Cup Women 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Spartak Moscow W Clean Sheet 20%
Krylya Sovetov Samara W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Moscow W Krylya Sovetov Samara W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 23 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Krylya Sovetov Samara W
1:0
Sep 7, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Krylya Sovetov Samara W
3:0
Aug 2, 2025 Russia Cup Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Krylya Sovetov Samara W
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Krylya Sovetov Samara W vs Spartak Moscow W
0:2
Jul 28, 2024 Supreme Division Women
Spartak Moscow W vs Krylya Sovetov Samara W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yakupova L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Krylya Sovetov Samara W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Moscow W 85 / 100
Krylya Sovetov Samara W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Moscow W Krylya Sovetov Samara W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Moscow W scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara W let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Spartak Moscow W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Krylya Sovetov Samara W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Moscow W VS Krylya Sovetov Samara W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W1
FK Rostov W2
Master Saturn Egorievsk W0
Zenit St Petersburg W3
Akademiya Tambov W0
Lokomotiv Moscow W12
Zvezda 2005 W0
Ryazan W1
FC Chertanovo Moscow W0
Krasnodar W2
Ural W0
CSKA Moscow W8
Spartak Moscow W5
Rubin Kazan W1
Dynamo Moscow W0
Krylya Sovetov Samara W2
Quarter-finals
FK Rostov W0
Zenit St Petersburg W2
Lokomotiv Moscow W3
Ryazan W1
Krasnodar W0
CSKA Moscow W4
Spartak Moscow W1
Krylya Sovetov Samara W0
Semi-finals
Zenit St Petersburg W5
Lokomotiv Moscow W3
CSKA Moscow W4
Spartak Moscow W2
Final
Zenit St Petersburg W0
CSKA Moscow W1