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FC Murom

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spartak Nalchik play FC Murom in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartak Nalchik averaged 1.13 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. FC Murom averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Nalchik won 1, FC Murom won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Spartak Nalchik and 1.38 for FC Murom. This points to a Spartak Nalchik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Spartak Nalchik

27%

Draws

33%

FC Murom

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Spartak Nalchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Spartak Nalchik picked up more points recently compared to FC Murom.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 57%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 17%

FC Murom Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 51%

Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Spartak Nalchik	FC Murom
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	11
Draws	9	7
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	1.13	1.3
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.07
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly

Spartak Nalchik vs FC Murom

Possession: 46% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Nalchik Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibragimov M.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Murom Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Nalchik 39 / 100

FC Murom 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Spartak Nalchik FC Murom

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Spartak Nalchik or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Nalchik attacking → ← attacking FC Murom

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Nalchik scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

FC Murom let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Spartak Nalchik went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

FC Murom lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 40

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50