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Stadium Background

Spartak Nalchik vs Yessentuki

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1 Spartak, Nalchik
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Chertkoev D.
29' Event
Khachirov A.
32'
Sub
Liev M. In: Shamilev M.
Out: Liev M.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 game between Spartak Nalchik and Yessentuki finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Nalchik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Spartak Nalchik
15%
Draws
0%
Yessentuki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Nalchik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartak Nalchik come out ahead of Yessentuki on wins alone.
  • Spartak Nalchik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Spartak Nalchik Clean Sheet 20%
Yessentuki Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Nalchik Yessentuki
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 1
Draws 9 3
Losses 9 26
Goals Scored 1.35 0.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Spartak Nalchik
0:0
Oct 8, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Yessentuki
1:0
Mar 7, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Spartak Nalchik
0:0
Aug 15, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Yessentuki
2:1
Mar 28, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Spartak Nalchik vs Yessentuki
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Nalchik Compare

Top Goalscorer Khachirov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Yessentuki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Nalchik 85 / 100
Yessentuki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Nalchik Yessentuki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Nalchik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yessentuki has conceded goals in 93% of their last 27 outings.

Yessentuki's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Spartak Nalchik scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Nalchik VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Nalchik

(Home)
26 Sept
FK Pobeda
4 : 3
Spartak Nalchik
19 Sept
Maykop
2 : 1
Spartak Nalchik
12 Sept
Angust Nazran
1 : 2
Spartak Nalchik
05 Sept
Spartak Nalchik
0 : 1
Nart Cherkessk
29 Aug
FC Sevastopol
1 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
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Yessentuki

(Away)
29 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Biolog
22 Apr
R. Volgograd
:
Yessentuki
14 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Spartak Nalchik
08 Apr
Forte Taganrog
15 : 0
Yessentuki
31 Mar
Yessentuki
0 : 3
Mashuk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 26 19 6 1 56:18 63
2 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 26 16 7 3 40:10 55
3 R. Volgograd 26 15 7 4 47:19 52
4 Biolog 26 13 7 6 35:24 46
5 Forte Taganrog 26 12 9 5 52:22 45
6 Kuban Kholding 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
7 Spartak Nalchik 26 10 7 9 36:30 37
8 Maykop 26 10 5 11 28:31 35
9 SKA Rostov-on-Don 26 9 7 10 26:31 34
10 Dynamo Stavropol 26 7 10 9 27:38 31
11 Legion Makhachkala 26 5 6 15 29:43 21
12 Mashuk 26 5 6 15 27:47 21
13 Alania 2 26 2 7 17 21:53 13
14 Yessentuki 26 1 2 23 7:79 5
Promotion - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Group 1 (Relegation Group)