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Spartak Pleven II vs Pavlikeni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Pleven II host Pavlikeni in the Third League - North-West. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Spartak Pleven II have averaged 1.88 scored and 3.38 conceded recently, against Pavlikeni's 1.29 scored and 1.25 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.69) point toward Pavlikeni. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Spartak Pleven II
15%
Draws
36%
Pavlikeni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Pleven II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Spartak Pleven II haven't matched Pavlikeni's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pavlikeni a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Spartak Pleven II Clean Sheet 13%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Pleven II Pavlikeni
Matches Played 8 28
Wins 1 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.88 1.29
Goals Conceded 3.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Pleven II 27 / 100
Pavlikeni 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Pleven II Pavlikeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pavlikeni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Pleven II's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Defensive concern: Pavlikeni conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Difficult form: Pavlikeni registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Spartak Pleven II has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Pleven II VS Pavlikeni
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Pleven II

(Home)
17 Oct
Spartak Pleven II
5 : 5
Yantra Polski Trambesh
11 Oct
Etar II
9 : 3
Spartak Pleven II
04 Oct
Spartak Pleven II
1 : 0
Partizan Cerven Brjag
19 Sept
Spartak Pleven II
0 : 4
Akademik Svishtov
12 Sept
Kom Berkovitsa
2 : 1
Spartak Pleven II
Page 1 of 2

Pavlikeni

(Away)
17 Oct
Pavlikeni
2 : 0
Etar II
10 Oct
Partizan Cerven Brjag
2 : 0
Pavlikeni
26 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
2 : 1
Pavlikeni
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akademik Svishtov 7 5 2 0 15:5 17
2 Kom Berkovitsa 8 3 4 1 16:13 13
3 Lokomotiv Mezdra 6 2 4 0 11:6 10
4 Yantra Polski Trambesh 7 2 4 1 17:15 10
5 Sevlievo 6 2 3 1 7:5 9
6 Bdin Vidin 7 3 0 4 14:16 9
7 Partizan Cerven Brjag 7 2 3 2 7:9 9
8 OFK Levski 6 2 2 2 7:5 8
9 Chavdar Troyan 6 2 2 2 6:8 8
10 Pavlikeni 8 2 0 6 7:13 6
11 Spartak Pleven II 8 1 3 4 15:27 6
12 Etar II 6 1 1 4 14:14 4
13 Juventus Malchika 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)