Sport Picks
Spartak Plovdiv vs Maritsa Plovdiv Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Spartak Plovdiv and Maritsa Plovdiv finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Plovdiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Spartak Plovdiv carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Spartak Plovdiv's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 13%
Maritsa Plovdiv Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Maritsa Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:2
May 23, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Maritsa Plovdiv
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Spartak Plovdiv
2:2
Apr 9, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Maritsa Plovdiv
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Third League - South-East
Maritsa Plovdiv vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Plovdiv 84 / 100
Maritsa Plovdiv 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Plovdiv Maritsa Plovdiv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartak Plovdiv scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Maritsa Plovdiv's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Maritsa Plovdiv has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Plovdiv VS Maritsa Plovdiv
2.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Plovdiv
(Home) 26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
22 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1 Yambol 1915
08 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
4 : 3 Sozopol
Page 1 of 3
Maritsa Plovdiv
(Away) 26 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
1 : 2 Levski Karlovo
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 1 Gigant Saedinenie
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
15 Aug
Yambol 1915
3 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
23 May
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1 Maritsa Plovdiv
16 May
Yambol 1915
1 : 1 Maritsa Plovdiv
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)
