Sport Picks
Spartak Plovdiv vs Neftochimic Burgas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 
AI Match Summary
Spartak Plovdiv host Neftochimic Burgas in the Third League - South-East. This one's hard to separate. Neftochimic Burgas have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Spartak Plovdiv have conceded 1.74 and scored 2.15. Past meetings favor Neftochimic Burgas slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.38) point toward Neftochimic Burgas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Spartak Plovdiv at 2.15 per game, Neftochimic Burgas at 1.69.
- Win probability leans Spartak Plovdiv's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Neftochimic Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 17 |
| Draws | 1 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.15 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartak Plovdiv's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Spartak Plovdiv remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Neftochimic Burgas conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Plovdiv
(Home)Neftochimic Burgas
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30:9 | 30 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 27:12 | 27 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 24 |
| 4 | OFC Haskovo | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 21 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Sozopol | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 16 |
| 7 | Gigant Saedinenie | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 8 | Neftochimic Burgas | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:13 | 16 |
| 9 | Rodopa Smolyan | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:19 | 14 |
| 10 | Rozova Dolina | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 15:16 | 13 |
| 11 | Dimitrovgrad | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Botev II | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:16 | 11 |
| 13 | Zagorets | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:21 | 10 |
| 14 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11:26 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:25 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 18:30 | 6 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 8:22 | 6 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8:17 | 5 |
