Sport Picks
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rodopa Smolyan
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-East game between Spartak Plovdiv and Rodopa Smolyan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Plovdiv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Spartak Plovdiv come out ahead of Rodopa Smolyan on wins alone.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Plovdiv taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Spartak Plovdiv have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 13%
Rodopa Smolyan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Plovdiv | Rodopa Smolyan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.18 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rodopa Smolyan
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Spartak Plovdiv
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rodopa Smolyan
3:0
Apr 23, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rodopa Smolyan vs Spartak Plovdiv
0:4
Sep 21, 2024 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rodopa Smolyan
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Plovdiv 48 / 100
Rodopa Smolyan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Plovdiv Rodopa Smolyan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartak Plovdiv scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Rodopa Smolyan let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Spartak Plovdiv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Plovdiv VS Rodopa Smolyan
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Plovdiv
(Home) 26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 2 Spartak Plovdiv
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4 Gigant Saedinenie
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rozova Dolina
22 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
3 : 1 Yambol 1915
08 Aug
Spartak Plovdiv
4 : 3 Sozopol
Page 1 of 3
Rodopa Smolyan
(Away) 26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
5 : 3 Maritsa Plovdiv
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Rodopa Smolyan
0 : 0 OFC Haskovo
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0 Rodopa Smolyan
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
29 Aug
Yambol 1915
5 : 1 Rodopa Smolyan
15 Aug
Sozopol
0 : 2 Rodopa Smolyan
09 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 3 Rodopa Smolyan
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krumovgrad | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Maritsa Milevo | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Plovdiv | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 4 | OFC Haskovo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 17 |
| 5 | Yambol 1915 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 24:9 | 16 |
| 6 | Gigant Saedinenie | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Neftochimic Burgas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:17 | 13 |
| 9 | Rozova Dolina | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | Rodopa Smolyan | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 11 | Zagorets | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Botev II | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Dimitrovgrad | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 15 | Atletik Kuklen | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:22 | 7 |
| 16 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:24 | 5 |
| 17 | Levski Karlovo | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 18 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)
