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Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Spartak Plovdiv and Rozova Dolina finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Plovdiv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Spartak Plovdiv
20%
Draws
32%
Rozova Dolina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spartak Plovdiv

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartak Plovdiv come out ahead of Rozova Dolina on wins alone.
  • Spartak Plovdiv are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Spartak Plovdiv Clean Sheet 16%
Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Plovdiv Rozova Dolina
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.18 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina
2:0
May 12, 2026 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina
4:0
Nov 8, 2025 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 Third League - South-East
Spartak Plovdiv vs Rozova Dolina
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - South-East
Rozova Dolina vs Spartak Plovdiv
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Plovdiv 84 / 100
Rozova Dolina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Plovdiv Rozova Dolina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Plovdiv Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Plovdiv found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Rozova Dolina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Spartak Plovdiv has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Plovdiv VS Rozova Dolina
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Plovdiv

(Home)
26 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rodopa Smolyan
19 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
1 : 4
Gigant Saedinenie
12 Sept
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
OFC Haskovo
1 : 2
Spartak Plovdiv
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Rozova Dolina

(Away)
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2
Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Levski Karlovo
1 : 2
Rozova Dolina
12 Sept
Rozova Dolina
1 : 1
Rodopa Smolyan
05 Sept
Spartak Plovdiv
2 : 0
Rozova Dolina
29 Aug
Rozova Dolina
2 : 0
Maritsa Plovdiv
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
3 Maritsa Milevo 8 6 0 2 17:9 18
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Sozopol 8 4 1 3 17:13 13
7 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
8 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
9 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
10 Rozova Dolina 8 2 5 1 11:10 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 8 2 0 6 7:19 6
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 8 0 1 7 5:17 1
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