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Spartak Subotica vs IMT Novi Beograd

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 Gradski stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Subotica play IMT Novi Beograd in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026. IMT Novi Beograd are favorites here. Recently, Spartak Subotica averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. IMT Novi Beograd averaged 1 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Subotica won 2, IMT Novi Beograd won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for Spartak Subotica and 1.81 for IMT Novi Beograd. This points to a IMT Novi Beograd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Spartak Subotica
19%
Draws
61%
IMT Novi Beograd
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: IMT Novi Beograd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartak Subotica picked up more points recently compared to IMT Novi Beograd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 11%
IMT Novi Beograd Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 60%
Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Subotica IMT Novi Beograd
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 2 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs IMT Novi Beograd
0:1
Mar 8, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs IMT Novi Beograd
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica
1:0
Apr 13, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica
2:4
Feb 15, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
IMT Novi Beograd vs Spartak Subotica
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Subotica Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

IMT Novi Beograd Compare

Top Goalscorer Juninho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Subotica 20 / 100
IMT Novi Beograd 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Subotica IMT Novi Beograd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMT Novi Beograd Win (2)
Secondary Pick IMT Novi Beograd & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Subotica attacking → ← attacking IMT Novi Beograd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Subotica scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

IMT Novi Beograd let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Spartak Subotica went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

IMT Novi Beograd lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 35
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
9IMT Novi Beograd3713111341:5150
10Radnicki Nis371471646:4949
11Mladost Lucani3711131333:5246
12Radnicki 1923379181041:4245
13TSC Backa Topola3711121445:4545
14Javor3710121541:5442
15Spartak Subotica37492437:7221
16Napredak37392530:7618