Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Subotica vs Napredak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Novakovic A.
49'
Motika N.
53' Event
Kuveljic N.

AI Match Summary

The Mozzart Bet Prva Liga game between Spartak Subotica and Napredak finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Subotica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Spartak Subotica
15%
Draws
49%
Napredak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Napredak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Napredak come out ahead of Spartak Subotica on wins alone.
  • Model gives Napredak a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mozzart Bet Prva Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 20%
Napredak Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Subotica Napredak
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.17 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Napredak
1:0
May 10, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Napredak
0:3
Mar 1, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Napredak vs Spartak Subotica
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Napredak
2:1
Apr 24, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Napredak
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Subotica Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuveljic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Napredak Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Subotica 16 / 100
Napredak 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Subotica Napredak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Napredak Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Subotica's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Napredak has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Napredak has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Subotica VS Napredak
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Subotica

(Home)
04 Oct
Spartak Subotica
0 : 6
Proleter 023
28 Sept
Loznica
2 : 0
Spartak Subotica
21 Sept
Spartak Subotica
0 : 2
FK Vozdovac
16 Sept
Smederevo
2 : 1
Spartak Subotica
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
Page 1 of 6

Napredak

(Away)
05 Oct
Napredak
3 : 0
Loznica
29 Sept
FK Vozdovac
0 : 0
Napredak
21 Sept
Napredak
1 : 4
Smederevo
16 Sept
Napredak
1 : 2
Vrsac
11 Sept
Spartak Subotica
1 : 0
Napredak
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Borac 1926 12 8 1 3 21:16 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 12 6 6 0 24:13 24
3 Smederevo 12 7 3 2 21:13 24
4 Javor 12 6 5 1 29:14 23
5 Vrsac 12 7 1 4 16:11 22
6 Metalac 12 5 3 4 16:12 18
7 Napredak 12 5 2 5 13:15 17
8 Dubocica 12 4 4 4 13:15 16
9 FK Vozdovac 12 4 3 5 11:11 15
10 Loznica 12 3 6 3 16:19 15
11 Spartak Subotica 12 4 3 5 18:23 15
12 Proleter 023 12 3 4 5 19:15 13
13 Graficar Beograd 12 3 1 8 16:23 10
14 Teleoptik 12 2 4 6 14:23 10
15 Jedinstvo Ub 12 2 2 8 11:21 8
16 OFK Bor 1919 12 2 2 8 7:21 8
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Relegation Group)