Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Subotica vs Radnik Surdulica

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026 Gradski stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spartak Subotica play Radnik Surdulica in the Mozzart Bet Super Liga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Spartak Subotica averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Radnik Surdulica averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Spartak Subotica won 1, Radnik Surdulica won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 20, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Spartak Subotica and 1.69 for Radnik Surdulica. This points to a Radnik Surdulica double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Spartak Subotica
35%
Draws
49%
Radnik Surdulica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Radnik Surdulica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Spartak Subotica picked up more points recently compared to Radnik Surdulica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Spartak Subotica Clean Sheet 13%
Radnik Surdulica Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Subotica Radnik Surdulica
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 2 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.1 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Radnik Surdulica
1:3
Oct 25, 2025 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs Spartak Subotica
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Spartak Subotica vs Radnik Surdulica
2:2
May 18, 2024 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Radnik Surdulica vs Spartak Subotica
0:0
Dec 1, 2023 Mozzart Bet Super Liga
Spartak Subotica vs Radnik Surdulica
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Subotica Compare

Top Goalscorer Osei K. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Radnik Surdulica Compare

Top Goalscorer Zoric L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jovanovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Subotica 17 / 100
Radnik Surdulica 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Subotica Radnik Surdulica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Radnik Surdulica or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Spartak Subotica attacking → ← attacking Radnik Surdulica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Subotica scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Radnik Surdulica let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Spartak Subotica went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Radnik Surdulica lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 38
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Crvena zvezda30243387:2375
2Vojvodina30195655:2962
3Partizan30194762:3961
4Zeleznicar Pancevo30156942:3051
5Novi Pazar30138938:3747
6OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet3010101039:3940
7Cukaricki3010101042:4340
8Radnik Surdulica301091137:3539
9IMT Novi Beograd301071335:4937
10Radnicki 1923308121032:3736
11TSC Backa Topola308101226:3534
12Javor308101229:3934
13Radnicki Nis30961536:4233
14Mladost Lucani307111223:4632
15Spartak Subotica30491734:5521
16Napredak30282026:6514