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Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Arkhipov A.
90' Event
Kuzin A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Spartak Tambov and Arsenal Tula 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Spartak Tambov
35%
Draws
20%
Arsenal Tula 2
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spartak Tambov come out ahead of Arsenal Tula 2 on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Tambov taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Tambov Arsenal Tula 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 4
Draws 4 10
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.73 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.57 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2
1:1
Apr 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Spartak Tambov
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Spartak Tambov
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Arkhipov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuzin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Tambov 85 / 100
Arsenal Tula 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Tambov Arsenal Tula 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Tambov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Tambov found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Arsenal Tula 2 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Spartak Tambov has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Tambov VS Arsenal Tula 2
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Tambov

(Home)
10 Oct
Spartak Tambov
0 : 0
Ryazan
03 Oct
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
19 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
2 : 2
Spartak Tambov
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
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Arsenal Tula 2

(Away)
11 Oct
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 0
FC Oryol
03 Oct
Rodina Moscow 3
1 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
Penza
0 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
13 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 2
Saturn Ramenskoye
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