Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Petrov R.
44'
Khabibulin A. M.
46'
Sub
Petrov R. In: Tursunov I.
Out: Petrov R.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Tambov in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spartak Tambov
6%
Draws
4%
Arsenal Tula 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Arsenal Tula 2 haven't matched Spartak Tambov's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Tambov taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 68%
Arsenal Tula 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Tambov Arsenal Tula 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 23 8
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 1.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Spartak Tambov
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Spartak Tambov
0:1
Oct 13, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Arsenal Tula 2
2:0
Jun 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Arsenal Tula 2 vs Spartak Tambov
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogdaev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Arsenal Tula 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Tambov 95 / 100
Arsenal Tula 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Tambov Arsenal Tula 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Tambov's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Arsenal Tula 2 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spartak Tambov stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Tambov VS Arsenal Tula 2
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Tambov

(Home)
25 Jul
FK Shumbrat Saransk
1 : 2
Spartak Tambov
04 Jul
Kursk
0 : 2
Spartak Tambov
27 Jun
Spartak Tambov
0 : 2
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
20 Jun
Ryazan
1 : 2
Spartak Tambov
13 Jun
Spartak Tambov
1 : 0
R. Volgograd 2
Page 1 of 6

Arsenal Tula 2

(Away)
26 Jul
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 5
Ryazan
04 Jul
Kvant Obninsk
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
28 Jun
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 4
Salyut-Belgorod
20 Jun
FC Oryol
4 : 1
Arsenal Tula 2
14 Jun
Arsenal Tula 2
1 : 1
Rodina Moscow 3
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Bryansk28194549:1861
2Salyut-Belgorod28193653:2460
3Dynamo Petersburg28178357:2059
4Spartak Tambov28165747:2553
5Znamya Truda28164857:2952
6Ryazan28138736:2947
7M. Lipetsk281351036:2544
8FC Oryol281081036:3738
9Arsenal Tula 228961339:3933
10Rodina Moscow 328881239:4632
11Penza28841626:4028
12SKA Khabarovsk 228831739:6427
13R. Volgograd 228581526:4423
14Strogino Moscow28631931:7321
15Kvant Obninsk28172017:7510
16Khimki 200000:00
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Fall Season)