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Spartak Tambov vs M. Lipetsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Osinov M.
42' Event
Ivashov M.
51' Event
Kuptsov D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 game between Spartak Tambov and M. Lipetsk finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spartak Tambov.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Spartak Tambov
30%
Draws
33%
M. Lipetsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • M. Lipetsk haven't matched Spartak Tambov's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Spartak Tambov's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spartak Tambov have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 20%
M. Lipetsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Tambov M. Lipetsk
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 21 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs M. Lipetsk
3:1
May 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Spartak Tambov
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs M. Lipetsk
2:1
Aug 19, 2025 Russian Cup
Spartak Tambov vs M. Lipetsk
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
M. Lipetsk vs Spartak Tambov
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Osinov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bogdaev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

M. Lipetsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Ivashov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Tambov 49 / 100
M. Lipetsk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Tambov M. Lipetsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Tambov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Tambov found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Spartak Tambov has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

M. Lipetsk has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Tambov VS M. Lipetsk
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Tambov

(Home)
10 Oct
Spartak Tambov
0 : 0
Ryazan
03 Oct
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
19 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
2 : 2
Spartak Tambov
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
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M. Lipetsk

(Away)
03 Oct
M. Lipetsk
2 : 0
Penza
27 Sept
Arsenal Tula 2
0 : 0
M. Lipetsk
19 Sept
M. Lipetsk
1 : 0
Strogino Moscow
12 Sept
SKA Khabarovsk 2
1 : 3
M. Lipetsk
05 Sept
M. Lipetsk
0 : 1
FK Shumbrat Saransk
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