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Spartak Tambov vs Sakhalinets Prediction & H2H Stats

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FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Kostyukov S.
50' Event
Agekyan D.
89' Event
Solovjev D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Spartak Tambov
15%
Draws
41%
Sakhalinets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spartak Tambov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Spartak Tambov have won more games recently than Sakhalinets.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Spartak Tambov taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Spartak Tambov Clean Sheet 20%
Sakhalinets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Tambov Sakhalinets
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 26 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.69 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 29, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Sakhalinets
2:2
Oct 19, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalinets vs Spartak Tambov
0:1
Aug 21, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Spartak Tambov vs Sakhalinets
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Tambov Compare

Top Goalscorer Solovjev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bzikadze I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Sakhalinets Compare

Top Goalscorer Kostyukov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agekyan D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Tambov 67 / 100
Sakhalinets 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Tambov Sakhalinets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spartak Tambov Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spartak Tambov scored in 87% of their last 39 games.

Sakhalinets let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Spartak Tambov went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Tambov VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Tambov

(Home)
03 Oct
R. Volgograd 2
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
26 Sept
Spartak Tambov
4 : 0
Kvant Obninsk
19 Sept
Salyut-Belgorod
2 : 2
Spartak Tambov
12 Sept
Spartak Tambov
3 : 0
FC Oryol
05 Sept
Rodina Moscow 3
0 : 1
Spartak Tambov
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Sakhalinets

(Away)
12 Nov
Sakhalinets
2 : 1
Kvant Obninsk
05 Nov
Strogino Moscow
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
29 Oct
Sakhalinets
3 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
23 Oct
Ryazan
1 : 2
Sakhalinets
15 Oct
Sakhalinets
0 : 2
Krasnoye Znamya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaluga 17 12 3 2 50:6 39
2 Sakhalinets 17 11 3 3 38:21 36
3 Spartak Tambov 17 10 3 4 26:22 33
4 Dynamo Vladivostok 17 10 0 7 30:21 30
5 Arsenal Tula 2 17 8 6 3 24:16 30
6 FK Kompozit 17 8 5 4 28:20 29
7 Saturn Ramenskoye 17 9 2 6 30:18 29
8 SKA Khabarovsk 2 17 8 1 8 30:29 25
9 Penza 17 7 4 6 22:26 25
10 Kosmos 17 6 5 6 24:28 23
11 Sakhalin 17 7 2 8 16:19 23
12 Kvant Obninsk 17 6 5 6 19:27 23
13 Krasnoye Znamya 17 6 4 7 18:26 22
14 Khimki 2 17 6 1 10 20:28 19
15 Ryazan 17 4 3 10 24:27 15
16 Strogino Moscow 17 3 5 9 28:36 14
17 FK Kolomna 17 1 5 11 17:41 8
18 Peresvet 17 2 1 14 21:54 7
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)