Sport Picks
Spartak Varna vs Arda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
efbet League Stadion Spartak, Varna 
AI Match Summary
Spartak Varna host Arda in the efbet League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Arda have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Spartak Varna have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.24. Past meetings favor Spartak Varna slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Arda. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Spartak Varna haven't matched Arda's recent run of results.
- Spartak Varna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Varna | Arda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartak Varna's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Arda conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Spartak Varna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Varna
(Home)Arda
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 23:4 | 28 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 27:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 21:7 | 26 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | 19 |
| 6 | Arda | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | 13 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | 9 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 13:21 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Plovdiv | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Lok. Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12:19 | 8 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 14 | Cherno More | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11:22 | 6 |
