Sport Picks
Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia
Bulgaria
efbet League Stadion Spartak, Varna 
Match Events
18'
18'
Pittas I.
Assist: Martino A.
33'
33'
Hanne B.
Assist: Lopes J.
36'
36'
Martino A.
AI Match Summary
The efbet League game between Spartak Varna and CSKA Sofia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
35%
53%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CSKA Sofia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and CSKA Sofia come out ahead of Spartak Varna on wins alone.
- CSKA Sofia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 11%
CSKA Sofia Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Spartak Varna | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia
0:4
Jul 26, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna
1:1
May 13, 2025 efbet League
CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna
5:0
Apr 26, 2025 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs CSKA Sofia
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Spartak Varna Compare
Top Goalscorer Hanne B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
CSKA Sofia Compare
Top Goalscorer Pittas I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Spartak Varna 14 / 100
CSKA Sofia 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Spartak Varna CSKA Sofia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CSKA Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Spartak Varna found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: CSKA Sofia conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Spartak Varna went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Spartak Varna VS CSKA Sofia
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Spartak Varna
(Home) 13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0 Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0 Spartak Varna
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 Ludogorets
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1 Septemvri Sofia
03 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 0 Lok. Plovdiv
17 Jul
Spartak Varna
2 : 2 CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 4
CSKA Sofia
(Away) 16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2 CSKA Sofia
12 Sept
CSKA Sofia
4 : 1 Arda
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
CSKA Sofia
3 : 1 Cherno More
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2 CSKA Sofia
09 Sept
Levski Sofia
2 : 4 CSKA Sofia
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1 CSKA Sofia
20 Aug
OFI Crete
3 : 0 CSKA Sofia
09 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3 CSKA Sofia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:6 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16:7 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:14 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 8 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 11 | Lok. Plovdiv | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Cherno More | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 13 | Lok. Sofia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10:18 | 4 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | 4 |
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)
