Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Spartak, Varna
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Stojanovski G.
Assist: Chunchukov T.
46'
Sub
Madaleno D. In: Triki M.
Out: Madaleno D.
51'
Lozev D.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Varna in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Spartak Varna
6%
Draws
4%
Dobrudzha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Spartak Varna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spartak Varna lately — more wins on the board than Dobrudzha.
  • Spartak Varna are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 68%
Dobrudzha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Varna Dobrudzha
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha
7:3
May 6, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Dobrudzha
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 efbet League
Dobrudzha vs Spartak Varna
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Dobrudzha vs Spartak Varna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Varna Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojanovski G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Dobrudzha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Varna 95 / 100
Dobrudzha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Varna Dobrudzha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Spartak Varna scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Dobrudzha conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Spartak Varna has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Varna VS Dobrudzha
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Varna

(Home)
17 Jul
Spartak Varna
2 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
11 Jul
Spartak Varna
7 : 3
Dobrudzha
08 Jul
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Nesebar
04 Jul
Botev Plovdiv
1 : 0
Spartak Varna
27 Jun
Spartak Varna
0 : 0
Dunav Ruse
Page 1 of 6

Dobrudzha

(Away)
18 Jul
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
Dobrudzha
11 Jul
Spartak Varna
7 : 3
Dobrudzha
08 Jul
Cherno More
2 : 2
Dobrudzha
01 Jul
Dunav Ruse
1 : 1
Dobrudzha
22 May
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 1
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Levski Sofia30224464:2270
2Ludogorets30179457:2060
3CSKA 1948 Sofia30185750:3159
4CSKA Sofia30168643:2356
5Lok. Plovdiv301113630:3346
6Cherno More301111833:2644
7Arda301281033:2744
8Botev Plovdiv301171240:3740
9Slavia Sofia301091136:3339
10Botev Vratsa309111024:2638
11Lok. Sofia309101140:3937
12Spartak Varna305121325:5027
13Dobrudzha30751823:4326
14Septemvri Sofia30751825:5826
15Beroe304111519:4423
16Montana30381915:4517
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League 2025/2026 (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)