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Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League 2025/2026 Stadion Spartak, Varna
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Krastev D.
Assist: Lopes J.
12'
Raychev R.
15'
Chunchukov T.

AI Match Summary

Spartak Varna in this efbet League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spartak Varna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Spartak Varna
35%
Draws
41%
Slavia Sofia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Slavia Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Slavia Sofia have won more games recently than Spartak Varna.
  • Win probability leans Slavia Sofia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Spartak Varna Clean Sheet 17%
Slavia Sofia Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spartak Varna Slavia Sofia
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna
0:0
May 10, 2026 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia
2:1
Mar 6, 2026 efbet League
Slavia Sofia vs Spartak Varna
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia
1:1
Dec 9, 2024 efbet League
Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spartak Varna Compare

Top Goalscorer Krastev D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chunchukov T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Slavia Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Raychev R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spartak Varna 20 / 100
Slavia Sofia 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spartak Varna Slavia Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slavia Sofia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spartak Varna scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Slavia Sofia conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spartak Varna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spartak Varna VS Slavia Sofia
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Spartak Varna

(Home)
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
05 Sept
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia
30 Aug
Spartak Varna
1 : 1
Ludogorets
22 Aug
Levski Sofia
6 : 0
Spartak Varna
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Slavia Sofia

(Away)
18 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
CSKA 1948 Sofia
13 Sept
Slavia Sofia
0 : 0
Spartak Varna
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
02 Sept
Slavia Sofia
1 : 2
Levski Sofia
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
9 Botev Vratsa 37 13 14 10 36:32 53
10 Lok. Sofia 37 11 14 12 51:48 47
11 Slavia Sofia 37 12 10 15 42:44 46
12 Spartak Varna 37 8 13 16 35:57 37
13 Septemvri Sofia 37 9 9 19 32:64 36
14 Beroe 37 7 13 17 28:52 34
15 Dobrudzha 37 8 7 22 28:52 31
16 Montana 37 4 11 22 21:55 23
Relegation - efbet League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Main)